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WSG Tirol v Austria Lustenau

2026-11-21 16:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prediction 55.78%1.79fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -7.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.74%55.60%55.68%56.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.641.671.7067.57%60.81%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visit)

Prediction 21.58%4.63fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.69%21.64%22.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.154.174.4025.64%24.09%23.95%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -0.832%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%22.71%22.68%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.963.954.2628.17%25.23%25.32%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: WSG Tirol (Local): 55.78%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 21.58%; Draw: 22.64%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.26, with an expected value of -3.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.93%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.76%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.32%EV -3.55%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.22%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 13:55
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.98%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.94%EV -8.09%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.08%EV -8.30%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 14:55
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-08 14:25
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-08 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-08 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-08 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.22%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.06%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.30%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.30%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 14:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.30%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.30%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.26%EV -9.63%E -5.95%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.95%EV -6.14%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-08 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -11.86%E -7.51%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -13.70%E -3.42%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-08 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.65%EV -13.54%E -8.73%K -24.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.04%EV -11.54%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -16.23%E -4.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-08 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.39%EV -14.10%E -9.15%K -26.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.87%EV -15.85%E -4.06%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.74%EV -15.09%E -4.02%K -5.49%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-08 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 55.82%EV -17.44%E -11.79%K -36.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 20.91%EV -14.77%E -3.74%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.27%EV -19.62%E -5.53%K -7.69%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-08 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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