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Wolfsberger AC v WSG Tirol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wolfsberger AC (Local)
Prediction 33.26%3.01fair odd
EV +0.771%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.380%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%33.29%33.27%36.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.742.703.0341.67%36.49%37.04%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
WSG Tirol (Visit)
Prediction 39.71%2.52fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.95%39.71%39.73%41.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.312.4045.45%43.20%43.29%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.742%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.67%27.00%27.00%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.44%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 33.26%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 39.71%; Draw: 27.04%. For Wolfsberger AC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.771%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.96%EV +0.771%E +0.255%K +0.380%G +0.003% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.35%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-18 12:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -1.89%E -0.640%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.89%E -0.640%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 12:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 12:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.55%E -1.22%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.63%EV -6.29%E -2.67%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.00%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.22%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 12:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -5.55%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -5.55%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 10:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.49%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -8.54%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-18 12:23 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.50%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 11:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.35%EV -7.88%E -3.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 11:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.20%E -3.78%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -11.87%E -4.48%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.69%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 10:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.87%E -4.48%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 11:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.86%E -4.91%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.45%EV -12.86%E -4.91%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.83%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -11.32%E -3.45%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-18 12:07 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.53%E -5.20%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.53%E -5.20%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.66%E -4.74%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.53%E -5.20%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.65%E -5.75%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-18 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -15.19%E -5.96%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.84%EV -9.47%E -4.15%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -15.19%E -5.96%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.84%EV -9.47%E -4.15%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -15.19%E -5.96%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.84%EV -9.47%E -4.15%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -15.19%E -5.96%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.84%EV -9.47%E -4.15%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 10:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -20.18%E -8.41%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -8.68%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-18 09:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-10-18 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-10-18 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-10-18 12:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-10-18 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.14% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.21% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 12:20 |