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Sturm Graz v Ried
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 60.50%1.65fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.50%60.41%60.50%62.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.541.531.6168.49%65.04%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ried (Visit)
Prediction 18.77%5.33fair odd
EV +3.25%
Edge +0.590%
Kelly +0.721%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.06%18.80%18.77%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.794.755.5023.81%20.90%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.73%4.82fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.85%20.79%20.73%22.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.334.304.7525.00%23.10%23.26%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 60.50%; Ried (Visit): 18.77%; Draw: 20.73%. For Ried (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +3.25%E +0.590%K +0.721%G +0.023% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +3.25%E +0.590%K +0.721%G +0.023% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-25 13:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.73%EV -5.62%E -3.60%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.00%EV +0.431%E +0.081%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV -1.55%E -0.326%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-25 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -8.64%E -5.72%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -0.508%E -0.096%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-25 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -6.83%E -4.43%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-25 13:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -2.39%E -0.459%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.58%E -0.550%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -6.22%E -4.01%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.59%EV -5.76%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -6.22%E -4.01%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-25 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.22%E -4.01%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.01%E -3.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -5.01%E -3.19%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-25 13:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 13:21 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 13:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-25 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.06%EV -5.62%E -3.60%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-25 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -8.04%E -5.29%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -5.69%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-25 13:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -8.04%E -5.29%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -5.69%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-25 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -8.04%E -5.29%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.02%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-25 13:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -8.96%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-25 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.04%E -5.29%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.23%EV -11.67%E -7.99%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -15.02%E -3.66%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-25 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-25 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.61%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -7.43%E -4.86%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-25 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.77%EV -11.06%E -7.53%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.31%EV -14.59%E -3.21%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-25 13:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.77%EV -11.06%E -7.53%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.31%EV -14.59%E -3.21%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64%EV -5.62%E -3.60%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -17.40%E -3.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -15.02%E -3.66%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.50%EV -6.83%E -4.43%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.50%EV -6.83%E -4.43%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.50%EV -6.83%E -4.43%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.50%EV -6.83%E -4.43%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-25 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -9.25%E -6.17%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -21.16%E -5.04%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-25 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-10-25 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-10-25 13:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-10-25 13:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-10-25 13:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.64% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85% | 2.0% | 2026-10-25 13:21 |