L’École des cotes

Sturm Graz v FC Blau-Weiß Linz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sturm Graz (Local)

Prévision 46.59%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.73%46.69%46.63%50.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.942.1055.56%51.69%51.55%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.10%3.98cote équitable
EV +2.89%
Avantage +0.705%
Kelly +0.933%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.21%24.96%25.11%26.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.753.704.1029.85%26.68%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.31%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.05%28.34%28.27%29.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.68%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:40
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:40
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:40
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:45
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:40
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 20:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 20:40
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 20:40
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 20:40
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV +1.64%E +0.404%K +0.537%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:05
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.12%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.71%EV -1.63%E -0.415%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -6.01%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 01:40
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 02:35
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 02:34
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 01:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:05
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.60%EV -6.35%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.84%EV -5.39%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -7.14%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 03:04
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 02:58
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 23:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 02:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 21:08
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 23:35
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 21:20
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 02:30
Suprabets1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -7.28%E -3.66%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.18%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -11.67%E -3.74%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 00:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 00:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 21:24
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 21:24
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 21:25
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 21:25
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 23:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%EV -10.54%E -5.49%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 01:40
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.99%EV -11.47%E -6.04%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -10.16%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.07%EV -9.97%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 23:33
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.09%E -1.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 21:05
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.09%E -1.48%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.61%E -4.95%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 23:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 21:19
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 21:20
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 21:19
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.80%EV -11.47%E -6.04%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 21:10
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.82%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 21:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-21 21:09
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.40%E -6.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.46%E -6.41%K -9.82%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-21 21:10
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.00%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.26%EV -15.93%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.74%EV -13.65%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-21 21:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-02-22 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-02-22 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-02-22 02:45
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-02-22 02:45
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%3.3%2026-02-22 03:30