La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sturm Graz v FC Blau-Weiß Linz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sturm Graz (Local)
Predicción 46.59%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.69%46.63%50.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.931.942.1055.56%51.69%51.55%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Visitante)
Predicción 25.10%3.98momio equitativo
EV +2.89%
Ventaja +0.705%
Kelly +0.933%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.21%24.96%25.11%26.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.753.704.1029.85%26.68%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.05%28.34%28.27%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.68%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.20%E -8.35%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV +2.89%E +0.705%K +0.933%G +0.027% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV +1.64%E +0.404%K +0.537%G +0.009% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.12%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.71%EV -1.63%E -0.415%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -6.01%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -2.15%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 02:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.60%EV -6.35%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.84%EV -5.39%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -7.14%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 03:04 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 02:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 02:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 21:08 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.75%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.40%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-22 02:30 |
| Suprabets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -7.28%E -3.66%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.18%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -11.67%E -3.74%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 21:24 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.81%E -3.41%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 21:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%EV -10.54%E -5.49%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-22 01:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.99%EV -11.47%E -6.04%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -10.16%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.07%EV -9.97%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 23:33 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.09%E -1.48%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.09%E -1.48%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.61%E -4.95%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 21:19 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 21:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.80%EV -11.47%E -6.04%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.82%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-21 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.40%E -6.60%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -11.01%E -5.76%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.46%E -6.41%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.00%EV -16.13%E -8.96%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.26%EV -15.93%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.74%EV -13.65%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 02:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 3.3% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |