Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ried v Wolfsberger AC

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 16:32 UTC

Final: Ried 2–1 Wolfsberger AC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ried (Local)

Prediction 41.78%2.39fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.34%41.72%41.74%42.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3248.78%45.30%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 29.73%3.36fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%29.85%29.78%31.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2435.71%33.21%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.585%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.43%28.48%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.253.4634.72%30.99%30.77%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ried (Local): 41.78%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 29.73%; Draw: 28.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.46, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%EV -3.15%E -0.926%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 16:29
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.34%EV -3.06%E -1.32%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.94%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.72%EV -1.44%E -0.416%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.90%E -1.70%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.90%E -1.70%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:29
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 16:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.15%E -0.926%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 16:29
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.85%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.15%E -0.926%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 16:29
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:30
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:30
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.99%E -2.66%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.82%E -3.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.37%E -4.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.82%E -3.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.37%E -4.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.82%E -3.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.37%E -4.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.82%E -3.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.37%E -4.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 16:30
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 16:29
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.24%E -3.26%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.85%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 16:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 16:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.00%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-19 16:29
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 16:29
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -14.37%E -4.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.85%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.08%E -3.67%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.54%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-19 16:29
Suprabets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.05%EV -9.75%E -4.51%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.06%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 16:28
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.83%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.85%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 16:29
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.85%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 16:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.85%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.85%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.65%EV -10.21%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.70%EV -11.12%E -3.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-19 16:26
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -10.17%E -4.73%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -16.75%E -5.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.27%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-19 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -8.85%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-19 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-19 16:29
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -14.54%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-19 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.26%E -5.84%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -16.75%E -5.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.96%E -6.24%K -9.55%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -14.34%E -7.00%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -4.17%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.40%EV -13.12%E -4.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-19 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27%0.5%2026-05-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-05-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-05-19 16:30
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-19 16:30
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%2.9%2026-05-19 16:30