The School of Odds
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Ried v Wolfsberger AC

2026-09-20 12:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ried (Local)

Prediction 41.49%2.41fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.35%41.41%41.35%42.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.192.232.3049.26%45.61%44.94%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 32.25%3.10fair odd
EV -7.11%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.73%32.44%32.40%34.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.832.8838.46%35.94%35.40%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.98%26.15%26.25%27.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.403.7030.30%28.88%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ried (Local): 41.49%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 32.25%; Draw: 26.26%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -2.84%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 11:44
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:20
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -4.58%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:43
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:45
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:50
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 11:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 11:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.10%EV -10.39%E -4.81%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 10:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-06 11:44
Suprabets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.35%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.83%EV -10.34%E -3.72%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -14.95%E -7.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 10:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -14.95%E -7.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.55%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-06 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 42.51%EV -15.78%E -7.77%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.73%EV -12.27%E -4.51%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -12.03%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-06 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.