Language:English
Ried v Wolfsberger AC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ried (Local)
Prediction 48.37%2.07fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.33%48.42%48.36%50.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.891.891.9855.25%52.95%52.91%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wolfsberger AC (Visit)
Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV -0.259%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.091%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.64%25.97%26.06%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.8330.30%28.50%28.57%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.59%3.91fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -0.988%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%25.61%25.58%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.8030.30%27.83%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ried (Local): 48.37%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 26.04%; Draw: 25.59%. For Wolfsberger AC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.83, with an expected value of -0.259%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.76%EV -4.23%E -2.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.21%EV -0.259%E -0.068%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.03%EV -5.07%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.95%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.95%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 12:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.95%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.67%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -9.42%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 11:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 12:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.85%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 12:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.55%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 12:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.77%E -0.728%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 12:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -6.25%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -9.06%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -1.04%E -0.274%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.27%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -12.76%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.51%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.51%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.51%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.51%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.51%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.00%EV -11.00%E -5.98%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -11.48%E -6.27%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.15%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -11.48%E -6.27%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.06%E -4.26%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -15.56%E -4.72%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-18 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -12.45%E -6.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -12.45%E -6.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -12.45%E -6.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -12.45%E -6.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.46%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.45%E -6.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.76%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 12:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.45%E -6.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.76%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.72%E -3.40%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 12:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 12:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 12:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 12:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |