The School of Odds
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Ried v LASK

2026-11-07 18:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ried (Local)

Prediction 17.37%5.76fair odd
EV -0.104%
Edge -0.018%
Kelly -0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.41%17.38%17.42%19.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.195.255.7522.22%19.28%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LASK (Visit)

Prediction 62.72%1.59fair odd
EV -5.92%
Edge -3.95%
Kelly -11.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.14%62.62%62.69%63.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.471.481.5072.99%68.24%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.91%5.02fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -0.844%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.51%20.00%19.89%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.534.504.8623.81%22.08%22.22%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ried (Local): 17.37%; LASK (Visit): 62.72%; Draw: 19.91%. For Ried (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.75, with an expected value of -0.104%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -0.104%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.17%E -4.85%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 21:55
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.45%E -0.809%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -7.17%E -4.85%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.45%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.45%E -0.809%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.05%E -6.24%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 22:00
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.45%E -0.809%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -8.43%E -5.77%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 21:55
Pinnacle🎯5.48I 18.25%NM 17.30%EV -4.80%E -0.875%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.20%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.51%EV -3.26%E -0.670%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 22:10
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -6.19%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.17%E -4.85%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.34%EV -9.43%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 22:04
1xBet🎯5.37I 18.62%NM 17.40%EV -6.71%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.29%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.43%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 21:54
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -7.92%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.42%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -6.44%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 21:59
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.79%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -7.17%E -4.85%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -6.44%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 21:48
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.79%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 21:59
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.71%EV -8.79%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.12%EV -12.82%E -9.22%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -13.41%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 21:59
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 22:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 22:00
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.68%E -6.72%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.81%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -13.13%E -2.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -12.19%E -8.71%K -30.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.42%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 22:00
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.13%EV -14.87%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.68%EV -9.68%E -6.72%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -12.41%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -16.61%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 62.34%EV -14.07%E -10.27%K -38.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.86%EV -14.40%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-31 22:00
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -21.82%E -4.85%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -9.68%E -6.72%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -16.39%E -3.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-31 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 17.12%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%16.9%2026-10-31 22:00