Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ried v Grazer AK

Início: 2026-08-21 17:30 UTC

Final: Ried 1–0 Grazer AK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ried (Local)

Previsão 47.33%2.11odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.747%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.45%47.34%47.39%49.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.931.942.0855.56%51.95%51.55%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Grazer AK (Visitante)

Previsão 25.06%3.99odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -0.712%
Kelly -0.959%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.78%25.11%25.01%26.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.653.703.8830.30%27.43%27.03%25.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.61%3.62odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -0.801%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.09%27.55%27.60%28.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.313.303.5231.75%30.22%30.30%28.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ried (Local): 47.33%; Grazer AK (Visitante): 25.06%; Empate: 27.61%. Para Ried (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.11. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.08, com valor esperado de -1.55%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -1.55%E -0.747%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -9.03%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.82%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 17:23
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.95%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.93%EV -2.76%E -0.712%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 17:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -3.45%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -3.45%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 17:20
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.29%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 17:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.29%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.29%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 17:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -17.30%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -17.30%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -17.30%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 17:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -17.30%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -8.18%E -4.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 17:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 17:18
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 17:25
Suprabets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.83%EV -9.72%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 17:21
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.54%E -3.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -13.54%E -3.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -13.03%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-21 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.75%EV -11.49%E -6.15%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -10.28%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -9.72%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 17:25
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.71%EV -11.97%E -6.43%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.34%EV -12.91%E -7.02%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -13.39%E -7.31%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -14.33%E -7.92%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -14.33%E -7.92%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -14.33%E -7.92%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -14.33%E -7.92%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -14.81%E -8.23%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 17:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-21 17:25
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-21 17:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-08-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-08-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-08-21 17:25