Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ried v Grazer AK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 17:30 UTC

Score final : Ried 1–0 Grazer AK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ried (Local)

Prévision 47.33%2.11cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.747%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%47.34%47.39%49.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.942.0855.56%51.95%51.55%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Grazer AK (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -0.712%
Kelly -0.959%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.78%25.11%25.01%26.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.653.703.8830.30%27.43%27.03%25.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.61%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.801%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.09%27.55%27.60%28.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.313.303.5231.75%30.22%30.30%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ried (Local) : 47.33% ; Grazer AK (Visiteur) : 25.06% ; Match nul : 27.61%. Pour Ried (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.11. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.08, pour une espérance de -1.55% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -1.55%E -0.747%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -9.03%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.82%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 17:23
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.95%EV -2.50%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.93%EV -2.76%E -0.712%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 17:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -2.97%E -1.45%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -3.45%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -3.45%E -1.69%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 17:20
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.29%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 17:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.29%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.29%E -3.17%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 17:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -17.30%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -17.30%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -17.30%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 17:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -17.30%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -8.18%E -4.22%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.03%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 17:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:25
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 17:18
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 17:25
Suprabets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.83%EV -9.72%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 17:21
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.54%E -3.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -13.54%E -3.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -13.03%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-21 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.75%EV -11.49%E -6.15%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -10.28%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -9.72%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 17:25
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.71%EV -11.97%E -6.43%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -12.44%E -6.72%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.77%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.34%EV -12.91%E -7.02%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -13.39%E -7.31%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -14.33%E -7.92%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -14.33%E -7.92%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -14.33%E -7.92%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -14.33%E -7.92%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.27%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -14.81%E -8.23%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-21 17:25
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-21 17:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-08-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-08-21 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-08-21 17:25