L’École des cotes

Ried v FC Blau-Weiß Linz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 15:00 UTC

Score final : Ried 2–0 FC Blau-Weiß Linz

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ried (Local)

Prévision 38.45%2.60cote équitable
EV +0.356%
Avantage +0.136%
Kelly +0.221%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.50%38.61%38.45%41.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.352.6145.45%42.29%42.55%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.78%3.15cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +0.630%
Kelly +0.915%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.38%31.54%31.83%34.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.902.923.2140.00%34.49%34.25%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.77%3.36cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -0.814%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.70%29.85%29.72%31.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.2735.71%32.34%32.26%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -11.18%E -4.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.66%EV +2.02%E +0.630%K +0.915%G +0.019%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -2.66%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 10:05
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -14.64%E -6.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 14:05
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -14.64%E -6.59%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 14:05
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.356%E +0.136%K +0.221%G +0.001%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.34%EV -1.79%E -0.580%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -8.62%E -2.81%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 14:50
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -1.57%E -0.612%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -11.89%E -4.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -1.57%E -0.612%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -11.89%E -4.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:45
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:35
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:35
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-30 23:58
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-30 23:59
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:35
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -12.33%E -5.41%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -12.33%E -5.41%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -12.33%E -5.41%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -12.33%E -5.41%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-30 23:59
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.34%E -0.920%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.84%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.41%EV -2.96%E -0.908%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 14:55
Suprabets2.34I 42.74%NM 38.86%EV -10.03%E -4.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.14%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%EV -9.81%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 14:14
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.72%E -3.22%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.26%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:50
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:50
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 14:45
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -15.41%E -7.00%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.72%E -3.22%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 14:10
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -13.49%E -5.99%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 14:50
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.60%EV -10.80%E -4.65%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.75%EV -10.37%E -3.68%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.65%EV -10.10%E -3.35%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 14:47
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 14:50
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 14:32
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.68%E -4.72%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 14:05
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 14:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 14:45
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 14:45
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.08%EV -8.87%E -3.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 38.08%EV -8.87%E -3.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 14:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 14:05
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 14:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.19%E -5.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -7.72%E -3.22%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -20.54%E -8.22%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-02 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-02 14:50
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-02 14:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.98%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%3.2%2026-05-02 14:55