La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ried v FC Blau-Weiß Linz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ried (Local)
Predicción 38.45%2.60momio equitativo
EV +0.356%
Ventaja +0.136%
Kelly +0.221%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.50%38.61%38.45%41.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.6145.45%42.29%42.55%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Visitante)
Predicción 31.78%3.15momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +0.630%
Kelly +0.915%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.38%31.54%31.83%34.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.902.923.2140.00%34.49%34.25%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.77%3.36momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.814%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.70%29.85%29.72%31.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.2735.71%32.34%32.26%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -11.18%E -4.84%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.66%EV +2.02%E +0.630%K +0.915%G +0.019% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -2.66%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 10:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -14.64%E -6.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -14.64%E -6.59%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.356%E +0.136%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.34%EV -1.79%E -0.580%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -8.62%E -2.81%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -1.57%E -0.612%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -11.89%E -4.02%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -1.57%E -0.612%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -11.89%E -4.02%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:58 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.65%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -3.87%E -1.55%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -12.33%E -5.41%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -12.33%E -5.41%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -12.33%E -5.41%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -12.33%E -5.41%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -6.24%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.34%E -0.920%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.84%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.41%EV -2.96%E -0.908%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| Suprabets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.86%EV -10.03%E -4.28%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.14%EV -7.19%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.01%EV -9.81%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 14:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.72%E -3.22%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.26%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -15.16%E -5.32%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -15.41%E -7.00%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.72%E -3.22%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -4.75%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -13.49%E -5.99%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -9.42%E -3.30%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.60%EV -10.80%E -4.65%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.75%EV -10.37%E -3.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.65%EV -10.10%E -3.35%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 14:47 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.64%E -4.10%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 14:32 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.68%E -4.72%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.80%E -2.37%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.49%E -3.57%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.08%EV -8.87%E -3.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.08%EV -8.87%E -3.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 14:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.56%E -5.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.19%E -5.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -7.72%E -3.22%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -20.54%E -8.22%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.98% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25% | 3.2% | 2026-05-02 14:55 |