Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 3–0 Wolfsberger AC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Prediction 50.02%2.00fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.76%50.16%49.86%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.851.9157.80%54.55%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV +0.189%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%24.52%24.54%25.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.704.0928.57%27.04%27.03%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.48%3.92fair odd
EV -0.622%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.215%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%25.31%25.60%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.9029.41%27.68%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rheindorf Altach (Local): 50.02%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 24.50%; Draw: 25.48%. For Wolfsberger AC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.189%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.80%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.60%EV +0.189%E +0.046%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.60%EV -3.93%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.96%E -4.92%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.47%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -0.622%E -0.160%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.47%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -0.622%E -0.160%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 12:04
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.47%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:14
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.01%EV -4.71%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.52%EV -6.74%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 12:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 12:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 12:24
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -8.96%E -4.92%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -1.90%E -0.493%K -0.665%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 12:14
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.46%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.17%E -0.834%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 12:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 12:19
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 12:04
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.46%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 12:19
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 12:24
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 12:15
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 09:14
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 09:15
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 09:15
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 09:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 09:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 12:15
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 12:14
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 12:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 12:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 12:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -8.46%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -9.36%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 12:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.07%EV -8.96%E -4.92%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 12:19
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 12:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.74%EV -13.46%E -7.78%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.18%EV -11.08%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-11 12:03
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-11 12:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -11.96%E -6.80%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.81%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -9.46%E -5.23%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -13.04%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -13.04%E -3.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 12:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-11 12:23
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -10.96%E -6.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-11 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -10.96%E -6.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-11 09:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -10.96%E -6.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-11 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -10.96%E -6.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-11 10:04
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -13.46%E -7.78%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -4.44%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.54%EV -11.46%E -6.47%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -14.26%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.09%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-11 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-10-11 12:25
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-10-11 12:25
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.09%2.2%2026-10-11 12:25