L’École des cotes

RB Salzburg v LASK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 17:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prévision 50.27%1.99cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -4.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.92%50.30%50.18%52.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.831.851.9058.14%54.73%54.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

LASK (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.21%3.97cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.401%
Kelly +0.533%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.79%25.19%25.27%26.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.623.654.0329.41%27.62%27.40%24.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.51%4.08cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.489%
Kelly -0.652%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.40%24.51%24.56%25.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.693.654.0028.57%27.07%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.11%EV -7.50%E -4.07%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.79%EV +1.62%E +0.401%K +0.533%G +0.009%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -2.44%E -0.614%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 17:29
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.66%E -0.426%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.18%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 17:29
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.87%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.91%E -0.492%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.28%EV -2.44%E -0.614%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 17:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 17:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -8.00%E -4.37%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -3.18%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 17:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.08%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:30
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:30
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:30
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:30
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -10.51%E -5.91%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.08%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:30
Suprabets1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.17%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.63%EV -9.55%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.95%E -0.489%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 17:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.86%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.19%EV -12.52%E -7.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-10 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -12.52%E -7.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 17:30
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -11.52%E -6.54%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -8.00%E -4.37%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 17:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:29
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 17:30
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -13.53%E -7.87%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-10 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -10.01%E -5.59%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -12.25%E -3.52%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 17:29
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 17:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 17:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.03%E -7.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-10 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-04-10 17:30
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-04-10 17:30