La escuela de los momios

RB Salzburg v LASK

Inicio: 2026-04-10 17:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

RB Salzburg (Local)

Predicción 50.27%1.99momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -4.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.92%50.30%50.18%52.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.831.851.9058.14%54.73%54.05%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LASK (Visitante)

Predicción 25.21%3.97momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.401%
Kelly +0.533%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.79%25.19%25.27%26.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.623.654.0329.41%27.62%27.40%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.51%4.08momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.652%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.40%24.51%24.56%25.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.693.654.0028.57%27.07%27.40%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.11%EV -7.50%E -4.07%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.79%EV +1.62%E +0.401%K +0.533%G +0.009%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -2.44%E -0.614%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 17:29
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.66%E -0.426%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.18%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 17:29
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.87%EV -4.48%E -2.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.91%E -0.492%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.28%EV -2.44%E -0.614%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 17:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 17:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -8.00%E -4.37%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -3.18%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 17:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.08%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:30
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:30
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.49%E -2.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:30
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:30
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:30
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.50%E -4.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -10.51%E -5.91%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.08%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:30
Suprabets1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.17%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.63%EV -9.55%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.95%E -0.489%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 17:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.99%E -3.20%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.86%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.86%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.19%EV -12.52%E -7.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-10 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -12.52%E -7.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 17:30
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -11.52%E -6.54%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -8.00%E -4.37%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 17:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 17:29
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 17:30
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -13.53%E -7.87%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-10 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -10.01%E -5.59%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -12.25%E -3.52%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.53%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 17:29
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 17:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.51%E -5.28%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 17:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -13.03%E -7.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-10 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-10 17:30
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-04-10 17:30
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-04-10 17:30