La escuela de los momiosEspañol
RB Salzburg v Hartberg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
RB Salzburg (Local)
Predicción 64.01%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.63%
Ventaja -3.11%
Kelly -9.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%64.11%63.93%65.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.441.441.4976.92%69.57%69.44%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hartberg (Visitante)
Predicción 15.27%6.55momio equitativo
EV +6.92%
Ventaja +0.989%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.080%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.17%15.16%15.38%16.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.026.007.0019.23%16.60%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.72%4.83momio equitativo
EV +0.686%
Ventaja +0.141%
Kelly +0.178%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.79%20.73%20.70%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.364.354.8626.67%22.93%22.99%20.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.23%EV -5.91%E -4.02%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +6.92%E +0.989%K +1.15%G +0.080% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -5.74%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.23%EV -5.91%E -4.02%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV +6.92%E +0.989%K +1.15%G +0.080% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -5.74%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -10.39%E -7.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +6.92%E +0.989%K +1.15%G +0.080% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.84%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 15:43 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.61%EV -5.91%E -4.02%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.08%EV +4.63%E +0.676%K +0.792%G +0.037% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV -1.59%E -0.335%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.11%E -6.41%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV +2.34%E +0.350%K +0.411%G +0.010% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.91%E -4.02%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.713%E -0.110%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -2.63%E -0.559%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -5.91%E -4.02%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.713%E -0.110%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -9.11%E -6.41%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -0.713%E -0.110%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -11.95%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -6.55%E -4.49%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -2.24%E -0.350%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.81%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -6.55%E -4.49%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -2.24%E -0.350%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.81%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-01 15:43 |
| Suprabets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -9.75%E -6.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -3.77%E -0.598%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 15:46 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.53%EV -10.39%E -7.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -4.53%E -0.725%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -17.13%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.55%EV -4.63%E -3.11%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.66%EV -6.21%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.79%EV +0.686%E +0.141%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.27%E -3.56%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.77%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Bovada | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78%EV -6.55%E -4.49%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.77%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.33%EV -6.55%E -4.49%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 04:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.77%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 04:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 04:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 04:39 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 04:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 04:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 04:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.19%E -4.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 04:40 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.29%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.29%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.29%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.29%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -12.95%E -9.52%K -35.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -17.13%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 64.52%EV -16.79%E -12.92%K -55.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.98%EV -8.35%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.51%EV -19.20%E -4.92%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -8.47%E -5.92%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -11.41%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -8.84%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.16%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -11.41%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-24 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.16%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -11.41%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-24 04:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -8.47%E -5.92%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -11.41%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-24 04:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -8.47%E -5.92%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -11.41%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-24 04:40 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -5.27%E -3.56%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -12.17%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -10.29%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.90%EV -5.91%E -4.02%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -12.17%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -8.84%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.80%EV -10.39%E -7.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -12.93%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.53%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.85%EV -8.47%E -5.92%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -14.46%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.62%EV -10.39%E -7.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.46%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.48%EV -9.88%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.99%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.99%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.99%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.83%E -5.44%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.99%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.39%E -7.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.29%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.39%E -7.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -22.31%E -5.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.70%EV -10.39%E -7.42%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -20.57%E -3.96%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.16% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.16% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.16% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.32% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16% | 2.7% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |