Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

RB Salzburg v Austria Wien

Início: 2026-08-30 17:00 UTC

Final: RB Salzburg 4–1 Austria Wien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

RB Salzburg (Local)

Previsão 68.83%1.45odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -5.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.16%68.66%68.87%70.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.291.341.341.4277.52%74.76%74.63%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Austria Wien (Visitante)

Previsão 12.72%7.86odd justa
EV +7.71%
Vantagem +0.911%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescimento +0.080%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.34%12.84%12.67%15.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.907.087.008.4716.95%14.12%14.29%11.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 18.45%5.42odd justa
EV -0.563%
Vantagem -0.105%
Kelly -0.128%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.43%18.50%18.46%20.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.894.905.3922.22%20.43%20.41%18.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: RB Salzburg (Local): 68.83%; Austria Wien (Visitante): 12.72%; Empate: 18.45%. Para Austria Wien (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.86. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.47, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.71%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.64%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.34%EV +7.71%E +0.911%K +1.03%G +0.080%5.33I 18.76%NM 18.02%EV -1.67%E -0.313%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +1.74%E +0.217%K +0.248%G +0.004%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -5.91%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -9.83%E -7.50%K -31.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +1.74%E +0.217%K +0.248%G +0.004%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -2.22%E -0.420%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:19
Suprabets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.51%EV -9.83%E -7.50%K -31.70%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.53%EV +0.466%E +0.059%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 15:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV -0.806%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.22%E -0.420%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.87%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -0.806%E -0.103%K -0.119%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -5.91%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -1.44%E -0.186%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.15%E -0.599%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.02%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV -1.44%E -0.186%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -3.15%E -0.599%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.15%E -0.599%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:44
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.76%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:49
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.76%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:55
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -3.15%E -0.599%K -0.740%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 16:50
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:44
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -4.62%E -0.616%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.76%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 16:50
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.01%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.67%EV -7.16%E -0.981%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -16.06%E -3.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.01%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.67%EV -7.16%E -0.981%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -16.06%E -3.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 16:44
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -3.63%E -2.59%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 00:15
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 00:15
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -7.76%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.33%EV -9.14%E -6.92%K -28.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -7.76%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.37%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -11.20%E -8.68%K -38.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -10.98%E -1.57%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -14.16%E -2.10%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -16.98%E -3.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.20%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.13%EV -14.16%E -2.10%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -12.37%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.20%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.13%EV -14.16%E -2.10%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -12.37%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.20%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.13%EV -14.16%E -2.10%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -12.37%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.20%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.13%EV -14.16%E -2.10%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -12.37%E -2.60%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 00:20
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -2.26%E -1.59%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.42%EV -15.18%E -2.28%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.84%EV -0.563%E -0.105%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -5.70%E -4.16%K -15.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -17.34%E -2.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.76%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -17.34%E -2.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.76%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.34%E -2.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.98%E -3.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.34%E -2.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.98%E -3.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.34%E -2.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.98%E -3.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.34%E -2.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -16.98%E -3.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.64%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -17.34%E -2.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.63%EV -16.06%E -3.53%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 16:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.85%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -18.61%E -2.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.45%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.77%EV -9.14%E -6.92%K -28.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.98%EV -18.61%E -2.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.60%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.96%EV -6.39%E -4.69%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -23.70%E -3.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -5.91%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.88%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.19%EV -24.97%E -4.23%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.92%EV -7.76%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%0.6%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%0.6%2026-08-30 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%0.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%0.6%2026-08-30 16:45
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.74%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.56%1.7%2026-08-30 16:55