Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

RB Salzburg v Austria Lustenau

2026-11-01 13:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

78%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prediction 78.20%1.28fair odd

EV -6.16%

Edge -5.13%

Kelly -30.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.34%78.21%78.21%79.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.67%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visit)

Prediction 7.68%13.01fair odd

EV +7.57%

Edge +0.541%

Kelly +0.583%

Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.68%7.59%7.69%9.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.0011.4312.0014.0011.11%8.75%8.33%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.12%7.08fair odd

EV +2.34%

Edge +0.323%

Kelly +0.375%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.98%14.20%14.10%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.906.396.507.2516.95%15.64%15.38%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: RB Salzburg (Local): 78.20%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 7.68%; Draw: 14.12%. For Austria Lustenau (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.01. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 14.00, producing a positive expected value of +7.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -8.51%E -7.27%K -50.04%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +7.57%E +0.541%K +0.583%G +0.044%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.19%E -0.170%K -0.198%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-19 10:04
Betr (AU)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.77%EV -7.72%E -6.55%K -42.91%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV -0.109%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV +2.34%E +0.323%K +0.375%G +0.009%	6.2%	2026-10-19 09:59
1xBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.03%EV -7.72%E -6.55%K -42.91%G +0.000%	12.20I 8.20%NM 7.64%EV -6.26%E -0.513%K -0.559%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -1.19%E -0.170%K -0.198%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-19 10:24
888sport🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.80%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.79%E -0.649%K -0.708%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.30%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-19 10:24
888sport (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.80%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.79%E -0.649%K -0.708%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.30%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-19 10:24
William Hill🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.80%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.79%E -0.649%K -0.708%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.30%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-19 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.16%E -5.13%K -30.80%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.79%E -0.649%K -0.708%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.30%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-19 10:20
Fanatics🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -7.72%E -6.55%K -42.91%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -7.79%E -0.649%K -0.708%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-19 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -8.51%E -7.27%K -50.04%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -7.79%E -0.649%K -0.708%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-19 09:45
SportsBet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 78.76%EV -12.42%E -11.09%K -103.47%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 7.67%EV -11.63%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%	13.4%	2026-10-19 10:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.51%E -7.27%K -50.04%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -15.48%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-19 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -11.63%E -10.30%K -89.49%G +0.000%	9.75I 10.26%NM 8.86%EV -25.08%E -2.57%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 14.65%EV -16.71%E -2.83%K -3.41%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-10-19 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -10.85%E -9.52%K -77.51%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -27.00%E -2.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -8.25%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-10-19 09:45
Sky Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 76.34%EV -10.85%E -9.52%K -77.51%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -27.00%E -2.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -15.30%E -2.55%K -3.06%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-10-19 10:28
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 76.55%EV -11.63%E -10.30%K -89.49%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 9.61%EV -30.84%E -3.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 13.84%EV -11.77%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%	15.6%	2026-10-19 09:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.