The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

RB Salzburg v Austria Lustenau

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 13:30 UTC

Final: RB Salzburg 5–1 Austria Lustenau

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prediction 81.96%1.22fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -5.00%
Kelly -38.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.26%81.83%82.06%83.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.121.131.1593.46%89.04%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visit)

Prediction 6.80%14.70fair odd
EV +11.13%
Edge +0.681%
Kelly +0.726%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 16.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.77%6.91%6.71%8.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0013.2613.0016.3410.00%7.54%7.69%6.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.24%8.89fair odd
EV +5.57%
Edge +0.593%
Kelly +0.664%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 9.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.27%11.25%11.23%12.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.907.978.009.3914.49%12.54%12.50%10.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RB Salzburg (Local): 81.96%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 6.80%; Draw: 11.24%. For Austria Lustenau (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.70. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.83%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.34%G +0.000%16.34I 6.12%NM 5.90%EV +11.13%E +0.681%K +0.726%G +0.081%9.39I 10.65%NM 10.27%EV +5.57%E +0.593%K +0.664%G +0.037%3.7%2026-11-01 13:25
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.23%EV -9.03%E -8.13%K -82.08%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +8.82%E +0.551%K +0.588%G +0.052%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -5.56%E -0.662%K -0.752%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 12:50
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.23%EV -9.03%E -8.13%K -82.08%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +8.82%E +0.551%K +0.588%G +0.052%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -5.56%E -0.662%K -0.752%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 12:50
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.95%EV -8.21%E -7.33%K -68.41%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 5.99%EV +5.42%E +0.350%K +0.374%G +0.020%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.06%EV -5.56%E -0.662%K -0.752%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +2.02%E +0.134%K +0.144%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -4.44%E -0.522%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +2.02%E +0.134%K +0.144%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 12:50
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +2.02%E +0.134%K +0.144%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +2.02%E +0.134%K +0.144%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:00
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +2.02%E +0.134%K +0.144%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +2.02%E +0.134%K +0.144%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.40%EV -8.21%E -7.33%K -68.41%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +2.02%E +0.134%K +0.144%G +0.003%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +1.18%E +0.132%K +0.148%G +0.002%7.1%2026-11-01 13:10
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -9.03%E -8.13%K -82.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +2.02%E +0.134%K +0.144%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -4.44%E -0.522%K -0.592%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:50
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.33%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.34%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.53%EV -1.38%E -0.095%K -0.102%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -4.44%E -0.522%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 12:48
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.77%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -4.78%E -0.342%K -0.368%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +1.18%E +0.132%K +0.148%G +0.002%6.0%2026-11-01 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.99%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -4.78%E -0.342%K -0.368%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.33%EV -7.25%E -0.879%K -1.000%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 11:10
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -4.78%E -0.342%K -0.368%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -4.44%E -0.522%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -9.03%E -8.13%K -82.08%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -4.78%E -0.342%K -0.368%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 11:33
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.57%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -7.25%E -0.879%K -1.000%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 13:03
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 12:40
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 12:45
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.06%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.11%EV -8.21%E -7.33%K -68.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -4.44%E -0.522%K -0.592%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.07%EV -8.21%E -7.33%K -68.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -14.56%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.67%EV -10.67%E -9.79%K -118.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -11.58%E -0.891%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -12.87%E -1.66%K -1.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.05%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.54%EV -1.06%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.05%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.54%EV -1.06%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 12:55
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 08:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 08:30
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 08:30
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.71%EV -8.21%E -7.33%K -68.41%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.99%EV -9.85%E -8.95%K -98.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.13%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 08:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.99%EV -9.85%E -8.95%K -98.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.13%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.99%EV -9.85%E -8.95%K -98.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.13%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.99%EV -9.85%E -8.95%K -98.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.13%EV -14.99%E -1.20%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 08:29
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.86%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -18.39%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.18%E +0.132%K +0.148%G +0.002%7.2%2026-11-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.75%EV -9.85%E -8.95%K -98.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%EV -18.39%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-01 11:33
betfred_uk🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -9.03%E -8.13%K -82.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -18.39%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -21.30%E -3.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.36%EV -8.21%E -7.33%K -68.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -21.79%E -1.89%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -4.44%E -0.522%K -0.592%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 79.82%EV -9.85%E -8.95%K -98.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.64%EV -21.79%E -1.89%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -21.30%E -3.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-01 13:04
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.93%EV -8.21%E -7.33%K -68.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -25.19%E -2.29%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -15.68%E -2.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 79.85%EV -12.31%E -11.50%K -175.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.77%EV -25.19%E -2.29%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.38%EV -22.43%E -3.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 79.26%EV -9.85%E -8.95%K -98.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -31.99%E -3.20%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -18.49%E -2.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-01 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.85%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%0.7%2026-11-01 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.73%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-11-01 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.73%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-11-01 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.73%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-11-01 13:15
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.58%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.60%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%1.9%2026-11-01 13:25

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.