L’École des cotes

Rapid Wien v Ried

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 15:00 UTC

Score final : Rapid Wien 3–0 Ried

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 48.14%2.08cote équitable
EV +5.91%
Avantage +2.69%
Kelly +4.93%
Croissance +0.291%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.43%48.10%48.18%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.941.922.2055.87%51.56%51.95%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ried (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.263%
Avantage +0.066%
Kelly +0.088%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.94%25.15%25.12%30.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.573.503.9932.26%28.01%28.57%25.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%26.75%26.70%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.353.6433.33%29.61%29.85%27.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV +5.91%E +2.69%K +4.93%G +0.291%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -22.10%E -7.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:58
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:49
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:49
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:50
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:50
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:50
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:49
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:49
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:50
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:49
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 14:39
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -5.64%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.20%EV +0.263%E +0.066%K +0.088%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -2.70%E -0.743%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 14:50
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -5.64%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:39
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 14:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 14:30
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 14:40
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 14:40
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.54%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.85%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -5.91%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 14:39
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -18.33%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-25 14:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:29
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 14:49
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.00%E -0.512%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:39
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 14:38
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 14:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 14:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -9.01%E -4.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.512%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 14:40
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -9.01%E -4.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.512%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 14:40
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.49%E -5.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -10.46%E -5.62%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.29%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 14:38
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-25 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -11.42%E -6.21%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -15.82%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-25 14:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.90%E -6.50%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-25 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -11.90%E -6.50%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-25 14:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -13.34%E -7.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.69%EV -13.83%E -7.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-25 14:50