La escuela de los momiosRapid Wien v Ried
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rapid Wien (Local)
Predicción 48.14%2.08momio equitativo
EV +5.91%
Ventaja +2.69%
Kelly +4.93%
Crecimiento +0.291%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.43%48.10%48.18%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.941.922.2055.87%51.56%51.95%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ried (Visitante)
Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.263%
Ventaja +0.066%
Kelly +0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.94%25.15%25.12%30.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.573.503.9932.26%28.01%28.57%25.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%26.75%26.70%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.353.6433.33%29.61%29.85%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV +5.91%E +2.69%K +4.93%G +0.291% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -22.10%E -7.13%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 13:58 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -2.75%E -1.36%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 14:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -5.64%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.20%EV +0.263%E +0.066%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -2.70%E -0.743%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -5.64%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 14:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 14:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.54%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.85%EV -5.27%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -5.91%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 14:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -18.33%E -5.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.47%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:29 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.57%E -3.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.00%E -0.512%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 14:39 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 14:38 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.77%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 14:39 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.05%E -4.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -9.01%E -4.77%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.512%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -9.01%E -4.77%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.00%E -0.512%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.49%E -5.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Suprabets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.84%EV -10.46%E -5.62%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.29%EV -6.02%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 14:38 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.94%E -5.91%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -11.42%E -6.21%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -15.82%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.90%E -6.50%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -11.90%E -6.50%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.81%E -6.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -13.34%E -7.41%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.69%EV -13.83%E -7.72%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -12.05%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-25 14:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 14:50 |