L’École des cotes

Rapid Wien v Rheindorf Altach

2026-08-02 17:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 51.28%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -4.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.48%51.24%51.20%52.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.781.801.8859.52%56.10%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rheindorf Altach (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.10%4.53cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -0.631%
Kelly -0.817%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.24%22.19%22.13%23.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.084.104.4027.78%24.50%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.63%3.76cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -0.920%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%26.57%26.67%27.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.403.6331.25%29.27%29.41%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.72%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:24
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.72%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 17:59
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 13:58
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 52.19%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.64%EV -3.00%E -0.683%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.17%EV -3.34%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:54
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 16:50
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 10:00
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 05:39
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.78%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.90%EV -5.43%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.33%EV -5.20%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 07:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.32%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 10:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 09:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 18:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 19:04
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 21:34
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.78%E -0.631%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 13:09
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 13:25
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.03%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 00:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 00:39
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 00:40
Suprabets1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 26.73%EV -11.86%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 13:10
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 10:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -16.03%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-25 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.86%EV -11.81%E -6.86%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -16.03%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-11 21:34
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.25%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -12.72%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.21%EV -13.86%E -8.25%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -20.45%E -5.68%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.36%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-11 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%8.9%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%8.9%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%8.9%2026-07-25 21:15
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%11.2%2026-07-25 21:40