La escuela de los momios

Rapid Wien v Rheindorf Altach

2026-08-02 17:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Resultado del partido

31 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Predicción 51.28%1.95momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -4.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.48%51.24%51.20%52.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.781.801.8859.52%56.10%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rheindorf Altach (Visitante)

Predicción 22.10%4.53momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.631%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.24%22.19%22.13%23.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.084.104.4027.78%24.50%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.63%3.76momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -0.920%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%26.57%26.67%27.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.423.403.6331.25%29.27%29.41%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.72%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:24
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.72%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 17:59
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 13:58
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 52.19%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.64%EV -3.00%E -0.683%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.17%EV -3.34%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:54
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 16:50
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 10:00
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 05:39
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.78%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.90%EV -5.43%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.33%EV -5.20%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 07:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.32%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 10:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 09:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 18:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.20%E -1.71%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 19:04
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.73%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.41%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 21:34
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.78%E -0.631%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 13:09
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 13:25
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -16.03%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 00:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 00:39
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.82%E -3.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 00:40
Suprabets1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 26.73%EV -11.86%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 13:10
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.62%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 10:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.10%EV -11.29%E -6.53%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%EV -16.03%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-25 10:00
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.86%EV -11.81%E -6.86%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -16.03%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-11 21:34
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.25%EV -12.32%E -7.20%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -12.72%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.21%EV -13.86%E -8.25%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -20.45%E -5.68%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.36%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-11 21:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%8.9%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%8.9%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%8.9%2026-07-25 21:15
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%11.2%2026-07-25 21:40