L’École des cotes

Rapid Wien v LASK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 16:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 33.23%3.01cote équitable
EV +1.67%
Avantage +0.546%
Kelly +0.811%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.36%33.19%33.26%35.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.712.703.0640.32%36.96%37.04%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

LASK (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.69%2.73cote équitable
EV -0.924%
Avantage -0.342%
Kelly -0.543%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.27%36.56%36.78%38.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.492.502.7044.44%40.09%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.08%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.689%
Kelly -0.996%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.77%30.25%29.96%32.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.083.103.2537.04%32.42%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.36%EV +1.67%E +0.546%K +0.811%G +0.014%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -10.96%E -3.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 15:59
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -1.99%E -0.673%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:59
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 32.93%EV -2.32%E -0.788%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.09%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -2.84%E -0.880%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -7.35%E -2.39%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 15:59
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -7.35%E -2.39%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:00
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:59
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:59
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 15:59
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.30%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -7.53%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -0.924%E -0.342%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 15:59
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:59
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:59
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:59
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.94%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.61%EV -18.78%E -6.96%K -11.05%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 16:00
Suprabets2.77I 36.10%NM 32.83%EV -7.97%E -2.88%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.96%EV -9.73%E -3.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.21%EV -9.46%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:59
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 15:59
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 16:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -12.62%E -4.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -12.67%E -5.32%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -2.24%E -0.689%K -0.996%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 16:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 32.87%EV -12.95%E -4.94%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.44%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 15:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.77%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 15:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:59
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 16:00
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 16:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -16.94%E -6.77%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 16:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.29%EV -16.94%E -6.77%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -17.44%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -15.78%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-22 16:00
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 35.45%EV -17.60%E -7.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.18%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.88%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-22 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-03-22 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-03-22 16:00
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.28%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.65%2.2%2026-03-22 16:00
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 32.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%2.9%2026-03-22 16:00