La escuela de los momios

Rapid Wien v LASK

Inicio: 2026-03-22 16:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Predicción 33.23%3.01momio equitativo
EV +1.67%
Ventaja +0.546%
Kelly +0.811%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.36%33.19%33.26%35.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.712.703.0640.32%36.96%37.04%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LASK (Visitante)

Predicción 36.69%2.73momio equitativo
EV -0.924%
Ventaja -0.342%
Kelly -0.543%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.27%36.56%36.78%38.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.7044.44%40.09%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.08%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.689%
Kelly -0.996%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.77%30.25%29.96%32.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.083.103.2537.04%32.42%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.36%EV +1.67%E +0.546%K +0.811%G +0.014%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -10.96%E -3.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 15:59
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -1.99%E -0.673%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:59
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 32.93%EV -2.32%E -0.788%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.09%EV -4.23%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -2.84%E -0.880%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -7.35%E -2.39%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 15:59
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -3.65%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.05%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.01%EV -7.35%E -2.39%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:00
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:59
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:59
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 15:59
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.31%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.30%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -7.53%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -0.924%E -0.342%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 15:59
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:59
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:59
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:59
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -6.97%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.94%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.61%EV -18.78%E -6.96%K -11.05%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 16:00
Suprabets2.77I 36.10%NM 32.83%EV -7.97%E -2.88%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.96%EV -9.73%E -3.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.21%EV -9.46%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:59
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -8.63%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 15:59
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 15:59
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.29%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 16:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -12.62%E -4.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -12.67%E -5.32%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -2.24%E -0.689%K -0.996%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 16:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 32.87%EV -12.95%E -4.94%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.44%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-22 15:59
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -13.61%E -5.24%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.77%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 15:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.26%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:59
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 16:00
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -15.28%E -5.99%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 16:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -16.94%E -6.77%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 16:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.29%EV -16.94%E -6.77%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -17.44%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -15.78%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-22 16:00
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 35.45%EV -17.60%E -7.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.18%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.88%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-22 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-03-22 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-03-22 16:00
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.28%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.07%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.65%2.2%2026-03-22 16:00
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 32.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%2.9%2026-03-22 16:00