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Rapid Wien v Hartberg

2026-10-16 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prediction 72.21%1.38fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -11.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.33%71.98%72.17%74.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.281.3383.33%78.62%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartberg (Visit)

Prediction 10.76%9.29fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.266%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.68%10.81%10.70%12.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.258.389.5014.29%12.13%11.94%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.02%5.87fair odd
EV +0.432%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.088%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.86%17.20%17.13%19.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.215.175.9020.83%19.19%19.32%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rapid Wien (Local): 72.21%; Hartberg (Visit): 10.76%; Draw: 17.02%. For Hartberg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.29. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -9.01%E -7.15%K -34.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.26%E +0.238%K +0.266%G +0.006%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV +0.432%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -9.73%E -7.79%K -38.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +2.26%E +0.238%K +0.266%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 01:45
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.73%EV -5.40%E -4.12%K -17.42%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.96%EV +0.111%E +0.012%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -18.29%E -3.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 14:01
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.73%EV -5.40%E -4.12%K -17.42%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.96%EV +0.111%E +0.012%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -18.29%E -3.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -7.57%E -5.91%K -27.03%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV -0.427%E -0.046%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.12%E -0.369%K -0.447%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:29
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.39%EV -6.85%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.15%EV -0.966%E -0.105%K -0.118%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.46%EV -8.93%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.85%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -3.12%E -0.346%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.85%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -3.12%E -0.346%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -3.12%E -0.346%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -18.29%E -3.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -3.12%E -0.346%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -18.29%E -3.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -3.12%E -0.346%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -18.29%E -3.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -6.12%E -4.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -3.12%E -0.346%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -18.29%E -3.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -8.29%E -6.53%K -30.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.50%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 19:39
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -8.29%E -6.53%K -30.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.50%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -10.46%E -8.43%K -43.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -8.50%E -1.00%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.12%EV -13.34%E -11.12%K -66.72%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.64%EV -11.19%E -1.36%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -8.08%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 18:19
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.85%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -13.88%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -9.73%E -7.79%K -38.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -13.88%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -10.63%E -2.03%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.75%EV -3.96%E -2.98%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -16.57%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 17:35
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.53%EV -3.96%E -2.98%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -16.57%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.08%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.43%EV -11.18%E -9.09%K -48.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -16.57%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.24%EV -12.62%E -10.43%K -60.11%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.34%EV -18.19%E -2.39%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.41%EV -15.74%E -3.18%K -3.98%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-10 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.73%E -7.79%K -38.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -19.27%E -2.57%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.38%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.34%EV -11.18%E -9.09%K -48.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -21.96%E -3.03%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -9.78%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 19:39
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.85%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -24.65%E -3.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -6.85%E -5.31%K -23.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -24.65%E -3.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -7.57%E -5.91%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -24.65%E -3.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 17:35
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -7.57%E -5.91%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -24.65%E -3.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-10 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.75%EV -11.90%E -9.75%K -54.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.33%EV -24.65%E -3.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -13.19%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-20 19:40
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.51%EV -11.90%E -9.75%K -54.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -24.65%E -3.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -14.89%E -2.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-20 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 70.24%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.90%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.85%16.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.63%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.04%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.33%165.5%2026-10-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 33.63%1.14I 87.72%NM 33.04%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.33%165.5%2026-10-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 34.45%1.14I 87.72%NM 32.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.92%168.8%2026-10-10 19:35