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Rapid Wien v Austria Lustenau
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rapid Wien (Local)
Prediction 77.33%1.29fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -3.97%
Kelly -21.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%77.25%77.50%79.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.201.201.2388.50%83.67%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austria Lustenau (Visit)
Prediction 8.76%11.42fair odd
EV +9.45%
Edge +0.756%
Kelly +0.822%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 12.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.38%8.79%8.72%10.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.2610.0012.5011.11%9.75%10.00%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.92%7.19fair odd
EV +4.37%
Edge +0.583%
Kelly +0.672%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.44%13.96%13.79%15.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.426.507.5016.67%15.58%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rapid Wien (Local): 77.33%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 8.76%; Draw: 13.92%. For Austria Lustenau (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.42. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.98%E -6.71%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV +9.45%E +0.756%K +0.822%G +0.078% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -15.11%E -2.48%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.98%E -6.71%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV +9.45%E +0.756%K +0.822%G +0.078% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -15.11%E -2.48%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -6.43%E -5.32%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 12.06I 8.29%NM 7.89%EV +5.60%E +0.464%K +0.506%G +0.028% | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.44%EV -1.47%E -0.208%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +5.07%E +0.423%K +0.461%G +0.023% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -6.07%E -0.899%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.56%EV -7.98%E -6.71%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 11.70I 8.55%NM 7.99%EV +2.45%E +0.209%K +0.229%G +0.006% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.45%EV -3.28%E -0.473%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -6.43%E -5.32%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -2.59%E -0.370%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +4.37%E +0.583%K +0.672%G +0.029% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -6.07%E -0.899%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 17:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -9.53%E -8.14%K -56.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -2.59%E -0.370%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-24 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -13.03%E -2.08%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.53%E -8.14%K -56.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.91%EV -12.62%E -11.17%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.00%EV -3.68%E -0.335%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -13.03%E -2.08%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.66%E -4.64%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -8.06%E -0.768%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.59%E -0.370%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.47%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.06%E -0.768%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.67%EV -5.37%E -0.790%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.47%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -8.06%E -0.768%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.67%EV -5.37%E -0.790%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -4.89%E -3.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 08:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -4.89%E -3.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 08:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -4.89%E -3.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -4.89%E -3.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -4.89%E -3.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 08:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -4.89%E -3.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 08:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -4.89%E -3.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 08:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -4.89%E -3.97%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 08:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -5.66%E -4.64%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -2.59%E -0.370%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -2.59%E -0.370%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.63%EV -7.98%E -6.71%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -10.94%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-24 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -11.85%E -10.39%K -84.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -12.44%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -13.03%E -2.08%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-24 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -10.30%E -8.88%K -64.37%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.51%EV -19.01%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.94%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -2.59%E -0.370%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.18%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -15.11%E -2.48%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-19 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -7.21%E -6.01%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.34%EV -9.53%E -8.14%K -56.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.55%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-19 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-19 08:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-19 08:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -8.75%E -7.42%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-19 08:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63%EV -10.30%E -8.88%K -64.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -21.20%E -2.36%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -16.50%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-24 17:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.67% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 0.8% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.67% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 0.8% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.67% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 0.8% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.67% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 0.8% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.04% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 1.1% | 2026-10-24 17:10 |