Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rapid Wien v Austria Lustenau

2026-10-24 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

73%

11%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prediction 72.74%1.37fair odd

EV -5.44%

Edge -4.18%

Kelly -18.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.51%72.62%72.74%74.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.261.271.3083.33%79.32%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visit)

Prediction 10.83%9.23fair odd

EV +2.87%

Edge +0.302%

Kelly +0.338%

Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.85%10.60%10.83%12.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.008.258.509.5014.29%12.12%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.43%6.09fair odd

EV -3.06%

Edge -0.519%

Kelly -0.625%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.86%16.78%16.43%18.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.905.315.205.9020.41%18.84%19.23%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rapid Wien (Local): 72.74%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 10.83%; Draw: 16.43%. For Austria Lustenau (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.23. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.28%EV -8.35%E -6.62%K -32.10%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.87%E +0.302%K +0.338%G +0.010%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -3.06%E -0.519%K -0.625%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-11 11:48
Betr (AU)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.48%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV +0.165%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.53%E -0.961%K -1.16%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-11 11:50
1xBet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.99%EV -6.89%E -5.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%	8.80I 11.36%NM 10.62%EV -4.71%E -0.535%K -0.604%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -6.35%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-11 12:30
Fanatics🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -7.62%E -6.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -7.96%E -0.936%K -1.06%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.53%E -0.961%K -1.16%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-11 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -7.62%E -6.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.96%E -0.936%K -1.06%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.63%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-10-11 11:44
888sport🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.96%E -0.936%K -1.06%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-10-11 11:54
William Hill🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.96%E -0.936%K -1.06%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-10-11 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.96%E -0.936%K -1.06%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-10-11 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.44%E -4.18%K -18.12%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.96%E -0.936%K -1.06%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-10-11 11:54
SportsBet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 73.12%EV -12.71%E -10.59%K -63.55%G +0.000%	8.25I 12.12%NM 10.64%EV -10.66%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -11.28%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-10-11 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 70.84%EV -11.26%E -9.23%K -51.16%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.52%EV -18.78%E -2.50%K -2.89%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 17.64%EV -19.49%E -3.98%K -5.00%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-10-11 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 71.34%EV -10.53%E -8.56%K -45.78%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -21.49%E -2.96%K -3.44%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -12.92%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-10-11 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 70.75%EV -11.26%E -9.23%K -51.16%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.33%EV -24.20%E -3.46%K -4.03%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -16.21%E -3.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-10-11 11:44
Sky Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 70.51%EV -11.26%E -9.23%K -51.16%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -24.20%E -3.46%K -4.03%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -17.85%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-10-11 11:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.