The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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LASK v WSG Tirol

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 18:31 UTC

Final: LASK 2–1 WSG Tirol

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK (Local)

Prediction 68.50%1.46fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -3.96%
Kelly -14.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.39%68.51%68.48%70.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.341.3878.74%74.84%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

WSG Tirol (Visit)

Prediction 13.77%7.26fair odd
EV +7.00%
Edge +0.901%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 7.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.42%13.75%13.88%15.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.696.757.7717.86%14.94%14.81%12.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.73%5.64fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.221%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.37%17.74%17.63%19.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.085.005.7021.05%19.70%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 68.50%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 13.77%; Draw: 17.73%. For WSG Tirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.26. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.42%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%7.77I 12.87%NM 12.42%EV +7.00%E +0.901%K +1.03%G +0.072%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.17%EV -0.379%E -0.067%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +3.29%E +0.438%K +0.505%G +0.017%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -2.51%E -0.456%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV +0.531%E +0.073%K +0.084%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 18:20
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.37%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.55%EV +0.531%E +0.073%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.157%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -9.58%E -7.26%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -0.846%E -0.118%K -0.136%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV +1.04%E +0.182%K +0.221%G +0.002%7.2%2026-10-31 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 18:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.21%EV -9.58%E -7.26%K -29.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -0.734%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 18:00
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 18:00
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.60%E -0.514%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.65%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -6.35%E -0.934%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -6.05%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.65%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -6.35%E -0.934%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -6.05%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:05
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -7.04%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:08
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -7.04%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.58%E -7.26%K -29.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -7.04%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -13.14%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.33%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -7.04%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.33%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -7.04%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.33%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -7.04%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.33%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -7.04%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 17:50
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.18%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 13.86%EV -7.18%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -7.82%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.49%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.49%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 18:10
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -10.49%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -10.49%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.49%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -11.86%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -7.82%E -1.50%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.66%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -13.93%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -15.80%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -13.93%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.29%EV -11.63%E -9.02%K -40.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -13.93%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-31 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -17.37%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -2.51%E -0.456%K -0.557%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -17.37%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 18:05
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -17.37%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -17.37%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 18:05
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -17.37%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -14.91%E -3.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.48%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -17.37%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -13.14%E -2.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.10%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -17.37%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.36%EV -15.80%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-31 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 67.28%EV -13.00%E -10.24%K -48.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.73%EV -20.13%E -3.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.99%EV -15.80%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-31 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.02%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.56%EV -22.88%E -4.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -11.37%E -2.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.23%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%1.0%2026-10-31 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.23%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%1.0%2026-10-31 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.23%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%1.0%2026-10-31 18:05
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.23%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%1.0%2026-10-31 18:00
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.38%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.63%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%1.5%2026-10-31 18:05

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