Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK v RB Salzburg

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 16:00 UTC

Final: LASK 1–3 RB Salzburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK (Local)

Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.84%45.98%45.81%47.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.012.002.0653.48%49.87%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visit)

Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -0.058%
Edge -0.018%
Kelly -0.026%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.01%30.47%30.63%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.623.003.003.2638.17%33.38%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.55%4.25fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.31%23.55%23.56%24.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.904.2027.78%25.85%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 45.80%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 30.66%; Draw: 23.55%. For RB Salzburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.262. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.260, with an expected value of -0.058%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.99%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.99%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:12
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:15
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:12
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:15
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:12
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -5.66%E -2.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:15
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -0.364%E -0.112%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -1.10%E -0.262%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 15:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.46%E -0.843%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 15:11
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.46%E -0.843%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 15:12
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 15:11
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 15:12
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 15:11
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.52%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 15:12
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -6.99%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 15:11
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.04%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -0.058%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -3.93%E -0.963%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 15:57
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.12%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.52%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 15:12
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -1.90%E -0.593%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 15:57
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 15:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 15:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.17%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 15:12
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -6.99%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 15:12
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 15:12
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.70%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 15:12
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.70%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 15:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -11.70%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 15:11
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.25%EV -12.01%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.70%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 15:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.25%EV -12.01%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.70%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 15:11
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.88%EV -9.32%E -4.71%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.90%E -0.593%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 15:56
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.88%EV -9.32%E -4.71%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -1.90%E -0.593%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 15:57
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.27%EV -9.32%E -4.71%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -12.63%E -4.43%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 15:12
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.19%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -14.05%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 15:12
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.19%EV -10.24%E -5.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -14.05%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 15:12
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -1.90%E -0.593%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.46%E -0.843%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 15:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 15:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.32%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.32%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 15:12
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -11.61%E -6.02%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -12.63%E -4.43%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-25 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -11.61%E -6.02%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -12.63%E -4.43%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-25 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -12.53%E -6.56%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.70%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 15:22
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.17%EV -13.45%E -7.11%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.58%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -15.23%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-25 15:56
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 45.33%EV -14.36%E -7.68%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.36%EV -19.68%E -7.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.31%EV -10.52%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-25 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-10-25 15:57
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-10-25 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-10-25 15:57
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-10-25 15:57
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-10-25 15:57