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LASK v Hartberg

2026-11-21 16:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK (Local)

Prediction 74.66%1.34fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -4.08%
Kelly -19.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.30%74.75%74.62%76.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.231.251.2787.72%81.42%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartberg (Visit)

Prediction 9.92%10.08fair odd
EV +0.190%
Edge +0.019%
Kelly +0.021%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.25%9.96%9.88%12.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.119.4310.1014.29%10.97%10.61%9.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.42%6.49fair odd
EV +4.84%
Edge +0.711%
Kelly +0.834%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 6.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.72%15.29%15.50%16.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.835.756.8020.41%17.15%17.39%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: LASK (Local): 74.66%; Hartberg (Visit): 9.92%; Draw: 15.42%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.49. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.80, producing a positive expected value of +4.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.46%EV -8.91%E -7.30%K -40.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.76%E -0.606%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV +4.84%E +0.711%K +0.834%G +0.040%7.2%2026-11-08 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.68%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.09%EV -7.25%E -0.775%K -0.868%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.45%EV +0.674%E +0.103%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.0%2026-11-08 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.802%E -0.080%K -0.089%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -3.64%E -0.583%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.97%EV -8.16%E -6.64%K -35.50%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.92%EV -7.75%E -0.833%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -5.96%E -0.976%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 13:55
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.97%EV -8.16%E -6.64%K -35.50%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.92%EV -7.75%E -0.833%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.12%EV -5.96%E -0.976%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 13:55
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.77%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.68%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.25%EV +0.190%E +0.019%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.98%EV -9.81%E -1.68%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 14:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -0.802%E -0.080%K -0.089%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -10.58%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -5.76%E -0.606%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -11.35%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 14:25
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -0.802%E -0.080%K -0.089%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.35%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -0.802%E -0.080%K -0.089%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.35%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -0.802%E -0.080%K -0.089%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.35%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -15.68%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -11.35%E -1.97%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.51%EV -9.66%E -7.98%K -45.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -28.08%E -3.87%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.39%EV -12.12%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-08 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 71.92%EV -11.15%E -9.37%K -58.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%EV -30.56%E -4.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.85%EV -16.75%E -3.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-08 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 74.06%EV -14.88%E -13.06%K -106.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.38%EV -10.72%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.56%EV -21.37%E -4.19%K -5.21%G +0.000%18.4%2026-11-08 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 71.30%EV -13.39%E -11.54%K -83.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.82%EV -30.56%E -4.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 16.88%EV -24.46%E -4.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-08 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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