Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartberg v Wolfsberger AC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 15:00 UTC

Final: Hartberg 1–0 Wolfsberger AC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartberg (Local)

Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.60%42.96%42.88%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.112.102.2751.02%47.31%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 31.50%3.17fair odd
EV +0.799%
Edge +0.250%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.28%31.38%31.49%32.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.972.953.2037.04%33.70%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.62%3.90fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -0.942%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%25.66%25.63%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.543.8030.30%28.23%28.21%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartberg (Local): 42.88%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 31.50%; Draw: 25.62%. For Wolfsberger AC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.799%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +0.799%E +0.250%K +0.363%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +0.799%E +0.250%K +0.363%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +0.799%E +0.250%K +0.363%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 14:45
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +0.799%E +0.250%K +0.363%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +0.799%E +0.250%K +0.363%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 14:45
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +0.799%E +0.250%K +0.363%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +0.799%E +0.250%K +0.363%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV +0.799%E +0.250%K +0.363%G +0.003%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -2.35%E -0.758%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.20%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 14:35
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.54%EV -3.61%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -9.30%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 14:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -14.24%E -7.12%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.57%EV -2.67%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.87%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.64%E -0.694%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 14:40
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.76%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 14:45
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.76%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 14:34
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -15.53%E -7.88%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.61%E -3.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-24 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -15.53%E -7.88%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.61%E -3.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-24 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.02%EV -15.96%E -8.14%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -11.61%E -3.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-24 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.02%EV -15.96%E -8.14%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -5.50%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -11.61%E -3.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-24 14:45
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.74%EV -4.81%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.61%E -3.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.74%EV -4.81%E -2.17%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.61%E -3.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 14:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.76%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.67%E -2.58%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.20%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 14:44
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.76%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 14:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.76%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 14:45
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 14:35
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 14:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 14:35
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.65%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.48%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -7.81%E -3.63%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.28%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.89%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.60%EV -8.67%E -4.07%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.04%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.80%E -4.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.20%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.10%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.80%E -4.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -11.61%E -3.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-24 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -11.80%E -4.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -15.45%E -4.68%K -6.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.13%EV -12.96%E -6.38%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.49%EV -12.43%E -4.47%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -11.61%E -3.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 14:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -12.10%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -13.38%E -4.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.76%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -14.24%E -7.12%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -14.95%E -5.54%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-24 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-10-24 14:55
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-10-24 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-10-24 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-10-24 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-10-24 14:50