Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartberg v Wolfsberger AC

2026-10-24 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

39%

35%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartberg (Local)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd

EV -5.57%

Edge -2.32%

Kelly -3.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.42%39.19%39.35%40.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.152.302.352.4046.51%43.45%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 34.52%2.90fair odd

EV -6.80%

Edge -2.52%

Kelly -4.00%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.87%34.52%34.52%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.452.612.652.7040.82%38.24%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd

EV -3.30%

Edge -0.892%

Kelly -1.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.06%26.29%26.14%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.433.423.7030.30%29.12%29.20%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hartberg (Local): 39.35%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 34.52%; Draw: 26.14%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -3.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Betr (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-11 11:45
1xBet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 34.69%EV -7.49%E -2.80%K -4.46%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-11 13:30
888sport🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-11 11:59
William Hill🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-11 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-11 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-11 12:00
FanDuel🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-11 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-10-11 11:44
Fanatics🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-11 12:09
SportsBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.44%E -6.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-10-11 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.44%E -6.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-10-11 11:44
Sky Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.44%E -6.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-10-11 11:54
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.04%EV -15.41%E -7.17%K -13.40%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 34.03%EV -12.67%E -5.01%K -8.28%G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12%NM 25.93%EV -13.23%E -3.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-10-11 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -15.41%E -7.17%K -13.40%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 34.96%EV -15.43%E -6.30%K -10.64%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.19%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%	16.7%	2026-10-11 11:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.