L’École des cotes

Hartberg v LASK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hartberg (Local)

Prévision 19.74%5.07cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.380%
Kelly -0.475%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.03%19.81%19.77%21.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.484.454.9725.00%22.33%22.47%20.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

LASK (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.01%1.75cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -4.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.94%56.91%56.99%58.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.631.7066.67%61.31%61.54%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.24%4.30cote équitable
EV -0.748%
Avantage -0.175%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.17%23.28%23.24%24.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.853.804.2727.78%25.97%26.32%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.97I 20.12%NM 19.04%EV -1.89%E -0.380%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.79%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.17%EV -0.748%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:59
Coolbet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.28%E -0.461%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.38%EV -7.07%E -4.33%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -1.21%E -0.285%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:20
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -2.28%E -0.461%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:39
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -2.28%E -0.461%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:39
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -2.87%E -0.584%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:55
Bovada4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -5.24%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.50%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:58
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.24%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 22:07
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 23:05
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:59
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 23:50
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 12:54
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:39
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:54
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:55
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:55
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:55
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:00
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:00
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 00:39
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:14
Suprabets4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.50%EV -12.20%E -7.92%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.82%EV -9.81%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:10
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -11.63%E -7.50%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 20:55
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -13.34%E -8.77%K -25.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 23:04
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -13.14%E -2.99%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -10.49%E -6.68%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.82%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-22 22:10
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -13.14%E -2.99%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -12.20%E -7.92%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 23:03
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -15.11%E -3.51%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -11.06%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.47%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 23:04
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:10
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:10
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:10
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:10
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 08:09
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 08:09
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 08:10
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 08:09
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.06%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.20%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -16.32%E -4.53%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 08:09
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.13%EV -21.04%E -5.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.34%EV -14.48%E -9.65%K -28.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-22 23:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%3.9%2026-04-23 22:04
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%9.9%2026-04-23 18:05