La escuela de los momios

Hartberg v LASK

Inicio: 2026-04-26 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hartberg (Local)

Predicción 19.74%5.07momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.380%
Kelly -0.475%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.03%19.81%19.77%21.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.484.454.9725.00%22.33%22.47%20.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LASK (Visitante)

Predicción 57.01%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -4.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.94%56.91%56.99%58.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.631.631.7066.67%61.31%61.54%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.24%4.30momio equitativo
EV -0.748%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.229%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.17%23.28%23.24%24.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.853.804.2727.78%25.97%26.32%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.97I 20.12%NM 19.04%EV -1.89%E -0.380%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.79%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.17%EV -0.748%E -0.175%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:59
Coolbet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.28%E -0.461%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.38%EV -7.07%E -4.33%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -1.21%E -0.285%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:20
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -2.28%E -0.461%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:39
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -2.28%E -0.461%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 00:39
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -2.87%E -0.584%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.70%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:55
Bovada4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -5.24%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.50%E -3.96%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:58
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -5.24%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 22:07
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 23:05
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:59
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.21%E -5.10%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 23:50
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 12:54
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:39
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:54
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:55
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:55
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.93%E -3.59%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 20:55
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:00
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:00
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 00:39
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.02%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:14
Suprabets4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.50%EV -12.20%E -7.92%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.82%EV -9.81%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:10
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -11.63%E -7.50%K -21.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 20:55
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -13.34%E -8.77%K -25.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 23:04
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -13.14%E -2.99%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -10.49%E -6.68%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.82%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-22 22:10
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -13.14%E -2.99%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -12.20%E -7.92%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 23:03
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -8.78%E -5.49%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 12:35
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -15.11%E -3.51%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -11.06%E -7.09%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.47%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 23:04
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:10
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:10
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:10
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:10
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -16.10%E -3.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -3.07%E -1.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 08:09
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 08:09
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 08:10
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -4.22%E -2.51%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.00%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 08:09
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.06%E -4.65%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.20%EV -7.64%E -4.71%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -16.32%E -4.53%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 08:09
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.13%EV -21.04%E -5.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.34%EV -14.48%E -9.65%K -28.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-22 23:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.47%3.9%2026-04-23 22:04
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%9.9%2026-04-23 18:05