Language:English
Grazer AK v RB Salzburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grazer AK (Local)
Prediction 19.46%5.14fair odd
EV +8.99%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.176%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%19.36%19.59%20.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.884.755.6023.26%20.51%21.05%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
RB Salzburg (Visit)
Prediction 57.55%1.74fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -5.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.07%57.62%57.47%61.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.571.581.6768.97%63.58%63.09%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%23.02%22.94%24.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.014.004.2026.67%24.95%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grazer AK (Local): 19.46%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 57.55%; Draw: 22.99%. For Grazer AK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV +8.99%E +1.60%K +1.95%G +0.176% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -12.52%E -8.24%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +8.99%E +1.60%K +1.95%G +0.176% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +8.99%E +1.60%K +1.95%G +0.176% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +8.99%E +1.60%K +1.95%G +0.176% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +8.99%E +1.60%K +1.95%G +0.176% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +8.99%E +1.60%K +1.95%G +0.176% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +8.99%E +1.60%K +1.95%G +0.176% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV +8.99%E +1.60%K +1.95%G +0.176% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -13.10%E -8.68%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV +3.15%E +0.594%K +0.732%G +0.023% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.63%EV -14.83%E -10.02%K -30.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV +1.20%E +0.231%K +0.286%G +0.003% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.59%EV -15.98%E -10.94%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.01%EV +1.20%E +0.231%K +0.286%G +0.003% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.59%EV -15.98%E -10.94%K -34.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV +1.20%E +0.231%K +0.286%G +0.003% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.76%EV -16.55%E -11.42%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.57%EV +1.01%E +0.194%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.70%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.73%EV -6.67%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.69%E -0.538%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.04%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.69%E -0.538%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.69%E -0.538%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.69%E -0.538%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -8.50%E -5.34%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.69%E -0.538%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -8.50%E -5.34%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -6.58%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -6.58%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -6.58%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -6.58%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -6.78%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.45%E -0.822%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -8.53%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 14:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -8.53%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -8.53%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -3.89%E -2.33%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -10.35%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -9.50%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -9.50%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -10.47%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%EV -8.50%E -5.34%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.47%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.47%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.20%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.52%EV -12.42%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.05%EV -11.37%E -7.38%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -5.75%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -9.65%E -6.14%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -11.37%E -7.38%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-10 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -14.37%E -3.27%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -11.37%E -7.38%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.73%E -3.63%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -11.95%E -7.81%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -16.31%E -3.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -9.07%E -5.74%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.41% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.47% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72% | 2.4% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |