The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Grazer AK v Hartberg

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 18:30 UTC

Final: Grazer AK 0–4 Hartberg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK (Local)

Prediction 35.98%2.78fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.519%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.32%35.94%36.03%38.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.522.502.7443.10%39.66%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartberg (Visit)

Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV +0.344%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.87%36.47%36.54%38.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.542.522.7545.45%39.39%39.60%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.53%3.63fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.59%27.43%28.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grazer AK (Local): 35.98%; Hartberg (Visit): 36.49%; Draw: 27.53%. For Hartberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.344%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV +0.344%E +0.125%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV +0.344%E +0.125%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV +0.344%E +0.125%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 16:35
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV +0.344%E +0.125%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 16:35
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV +0.344%E +0.125%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV +0.344%E +0.125%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV +0.344%E +0.125%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -12.57%E -5.17%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV +0.344%E +0.125%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.21%EV -3.58%E -1.34%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.07%EV -1.84%E -0.686%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-30 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.30%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.30%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -15.45%E -6.58%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -4.03%E -1.53%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 16:35
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.04%EV -16.53%E -7.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-30 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.04%EV -16.53%E -7.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-30 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.04%EV -16.53%E -7.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-30 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.04%EV -16.53%E -7.13%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -5.13%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-30 16:35
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.62%EV -6.10%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.03%EV -5.86%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.34%EV -9.69%E -2.95%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-30 16:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.42%E -0.519%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -6.59%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.42%E -0.519%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -6.59%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.66%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-30 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 18:05
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 18:09
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.26%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 18:10
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.26%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.95%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.26%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-30 18:05
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 18:14
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 18:15
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-30 18:05
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-30 18:05
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-30 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.78%E -3.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.65%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-30 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -8.26%E -3.24%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -9.51%E -3.83%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -2.86%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 08:15
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -2.86%E -1.06%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.39%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 17:30
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-30 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.60%E -4.33%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 18:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-30 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.65%E -5.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-30 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.65%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-30 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 17:30
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -13.52%E -5.71%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-30 17:25
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -6.46%E -2.48%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -13.52%E -5.71%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-30 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.48%EV -11.14%E -4.51%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -14.25%E -6.06%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -11.34%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -13.65%E -5.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -14.25%E -6.06%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -10.52%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-30 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.73%EV -11.85%E -4.84%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.68%EV -19.72%E -8.97%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.59%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-30 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-10-30 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-10-30 18:15
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-10-30 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-10-30 18:15
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-10-30 18:15

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.