L’École des cotes

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v WSG Tirol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Prévision 42.78%2.34cote équitable
EV -0.326%
Avantage -0.140%
Kelly -0.245%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.27%42.71%42.86%43.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.182.172.3352.63%45.79%46.08%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

WSG Tirol (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.03%3.57cote équitable
EV +2.03%
Avantage +0.558%
Kelly +0.770%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.07%28.06%27.94%30.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.6433.33%31.16%31.25%27.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.19%3.43cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.289%
Kelly +0.407%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.73%29.24%29.20%30.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.103.103.4636.36%32.30%32.26%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.99%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV +2.03%E +0.558%K +0.770%G +0.016%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.42%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV +0.911%E +0.253%K +0.350%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 15:54
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.11%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -1.89%E -0.541%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 15:49
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.11%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -1.89%E -0.541%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 15:49
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:48
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Suprabets2.09I 47.85%NM 43.52%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.73%EV -10.68%E -3.49%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 15:51
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.81%EV -6.32%E -2.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.47%EV -5.54%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV +1.00%E +0.289%K +0.407%G +0.004%4.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 15:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:54
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 15:49
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -16.22%E -5.65%K -8.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-01 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 15:44
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.97%EV -7.60%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.70%E -3.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.70%E -3.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 15:55
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.59%EV -18.72%E -9.85%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.29%EV -11.70%E -3.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.12%EV -19.73%E -7.17%K -11.27%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-01 15:54
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.57%EV -12.26%E -3.92%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:54
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 15:49
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.93%E -5.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-01 15:50
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:44
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:44
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:44
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:44
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -0.754%E -0.325%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -0.754%E -0.325%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 04:45
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -0.754%E -0.325%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 04:45
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -0.754%E -0.325%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 04:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%0.9%2026-03-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-03-01 15:55