La escuela de los momios

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v WSG Tirol

Inicio: 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Predicción 42.78%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.326%
Ventaja -0.140%
Kelly -0.245%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.27%42.71%42.86%43.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.182.172.3352.63%45.79%46.08%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

WSG Tirol (Visitante)

Predicción 28.03%3.57momio equitativo
EV +2.03%
Ventaja +0.558%
Kelly +0.770%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.07%28.06%27.94%30.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.6433.33%31.16%31.25%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.19%3.43momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.289%
Kelly +0.407%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.73%29.24%29.20%30.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.103.103.4636.36%32.30%32.26%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.99%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV +2.03%E +0.558%K +0.770%G +0.016%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.42%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV +0.911%E +0.253%K +0.350%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 15:54
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.11%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -1.89%E -0.541%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 15:49
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.11%EV -5.03%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -1.89%E -0.541%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.54%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 15:49
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:48
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Suprabets2.09I 47.85%NM 43.52%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.73%EV -10.68%E -3.49%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 15:51
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.81%EV -6.32%E -2.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.47%EV -5.54%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV +1.00%E +0.289%K +0.407%G +0.004%4.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 15:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:54
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:49
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 15:49
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -16.22%E -5.65%K -8.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-01 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:49
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 15:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.30%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 15:44
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.97%EV -7.60%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.70%E -3.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -11.70%E -3.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 15:55
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.59%EV -18.72%E -9.85%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.29%EV -11.70%E -3.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.12%EV -19.73%E -7.17%K -11.27%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-01 15:54
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -10.17%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.57%EV -12.26%E -3.92%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:54
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 15:49
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.03%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.93%E -5.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-01 15:50
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:44
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:44
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:45
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:44
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -0.326%E -0.140%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-24 04:44
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -0.754%E -0.325%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -0.754%E -0.325%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 04:45
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -0.754%E -0.325%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 04:45
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -0.754%E -0.325%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 04:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 15:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%0.9%2026-03-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-03-01 15:55