L’École des cotes

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v Wolfsberger AC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 16:30 UTC

Score final : FC Blau-Weiß Linz 3–0 Wolfsberger AC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Prévision 47.54%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.78%47.59%47.53%49.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.952.0254.64%51.82%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wolfsberger AC (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.29%3.95cote équitable
EV +3.93%
Avantage +0.956%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.35%25.23%25.22%26.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.613.554.1130.30%27.72%28.17%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.17%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.609%
Kelly -0.843%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.98%27.17%27.25%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.86%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.35%EV +3.93%E +0.956%K +1.26%G +0.050%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 16:25
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.59%EV -5.39%E -2.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV +3.17%E +0.777%K +1.03%G +0.033%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.71%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 16:25
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -8.24%E -4.27%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -0.117%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:25
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -8.24%E -4.27%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -0.117%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.38%E -0.354%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:25
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:14
Suprabets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.11%EV -10.14%E -5.37%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 23.99%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.89%EV -11.43%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 16:22
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 15:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:55
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 15:44
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 16:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 16:24
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:25
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -12.99%E -7.10%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 16:04
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.04%E -6.51%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:25
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -12.99%E -7.10%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 16:25
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:25
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -6.81%E -3.48%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:39
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 16:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:39
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:39
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:39
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -9.67%E -5.09%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -12.04%E -6.51%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:04
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 16:25
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.27%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 09:39
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.27%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 09:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 15:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.99%E -7.10%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-21 15:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -9.67%E -5.09%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.84%EV -12.52%E -6.80%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-21 15:55
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -11.09%E -5.93%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 09:39
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.09%E -5.93%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -16.55%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-21 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-21 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-21 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-21 16:25
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-04-21 16:25