La escuela de los momios

FC Blau-Weiß Linz v Wolfsberger AC

Inicio: 2026-04-21 16:30 UTC

Final: FC Blau-Weiß Linz 3–0 Wolfsberger AC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Local)

Predicción 47.54%2.10momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.78%47.59%47.53%49.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.952.0254.64%51.82%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wolfsberger AC (Visitante)

Predicción 25.29%3.95momio equitativo
EV +3.93%
Ventaja +0.956%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.35%25.23%25.22%26.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.613.554.1130.30%27.72%28.17%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.17%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.609%
Kelly -0.843%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.98%27.17%27.25%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.86%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.35%EV +3.93%E +0.956%K +1.26%G +0.050%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 16:25
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.59%EV -5.39%E -2.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV +3.17%E +0.777%K +1.03%G +0.033%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.71%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 16:25
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -8.24%E -4.27%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -0.117%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:25
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -8.24%E -4.27%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -0.117%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.38%E -0.354%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:25
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:14
Suprabets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.11%EV -10.14%E -5.37%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 23.99%EV -4.16%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.89%EV -11.43%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 16:22
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 15:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:55
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 15:44
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 16:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 16:24
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:25
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 16:25
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -12.99%E -7.10%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 16:04
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.04%E -6.51%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:25
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -12.99%E -7.10%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 16:25
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:25
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -6.81%E -3.48%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:39
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 16:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:39
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:39
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:39
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -9.67%E -5.09%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -12.04%E -6.51%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:04
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 16:25
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -7.76%E -4.00%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.27%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 09:39
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.24%E -4.27%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 09:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 15:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -12.99%E -7.10%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-21 15:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -9.67%E -5.09%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.84%EV -12.52%E -6.80%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-21 15:55
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -11.09%E -5.93%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 09:39
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.09%E -5.93%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -16.55%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-21 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-21 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-04-21 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-04-21 16:25
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-04-21 16:25