The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Austria Wien v Rapid Wien

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 16:00 UTC

Final: Austria Wien 0–2 Rapid Wien

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prediction 20.58%4.86fair odd
EV +0.229%
Edge +0.047%
Kelly +0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.52%20.56%20.64%21.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.404.8725.00%22.55%22.73%20.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rapid Wien (Visit)

Prediction 54.05%1.85fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.49%54.11%54.01%56.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.681.671.7963.29%59.37%59.70%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.489%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.45%25.33%25.35%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.673.674.0029.85%27.23%27.29%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 20.58%; Rapid Wien (Visit): 54.05%; Draw: 25.37%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +1.47%E +0.367%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.6%2026-11-01 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +1.47%E +0.367%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.6%2026-11-01 13:05
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +1.47%E +0.367%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.6%2026-11-01 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +1.47%E +0.367%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.6%2026-11-01 13:05
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +1.47%E +0.367%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.6%2026-11-01 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +1.47%E +0.367%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.6%2026-11-01 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +1.47%E +0.367%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.6%2026-11-01 13:05
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +1.47%E +0.367%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.6%2026-11-01 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.03%E -4.09%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -1.07%E -0.274%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 15:50
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.57%E -4.43%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.60%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 15:40
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -10.47%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.59%EV -12.44%E -7.68%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -3.60%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 13:05
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.03%E -4.09%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 15:50
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -12.44%E -7.68%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -11.50%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -13.52%E -8.45%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -11.50%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -13.52%E -8.45%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -11.50%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -13.52%E -8.45%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -11.50%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -13.52%E -8.45%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 13:05
Pinnacle🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.91%EV +0.229%E +0.047%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.17%EV -3.25%E -1.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 15:55
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.27%E -0.696%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.95%E -3.42%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -6.49%E -3.75%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.27%E -0.696%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:55
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -8.65%E -5.12%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 15:45
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -12.53%E -2.95%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -9.19%E -5.47%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 15:45
1xBet🎯4.62I 21.65%NM 20.24%EV -4.92%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -7.03%E -4.09%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.65%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 15:45
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.87%E -2.77%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -1.21%E -0.252%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.03%E -4.09%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -1.21%E -0.252%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.03%E -4.09%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:40
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -3.27%E -0.696%K -0.884%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.38%EV -7.57%E -4.43%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 15:53
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:40
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:40
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.76%EV -8.65%E -5.12%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 15:45
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.49%E -3.75%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.49%E -3.75%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.49%E -3.75%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 15:55
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 15:40
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.57%E -4.43%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 15:54
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -7.03%E -4.09%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 15:55
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -17.68%E -4.42%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.23%EV -11.35%E -6.92%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-01 15:45
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -3.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.48%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 15:55
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.44%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -3.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -12.48%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -13.56%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.75%EV -11.90%E -7.30%K -18.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -12.48%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 15:42
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -10.88%E -2.51%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 20.83%EV -15.62%E -3.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.05%EV -14.60%E -9.24%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-01 15:45
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -11.50%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.15%EV -10.27%E -6.19%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-11-01 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-11-01 15:45
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-11-01 15:55

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