Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Lustenau v WSG Tirol

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 17:30 UTC

Final: Austria Lustenau 0–4 WSG Tirol

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Lustenau (Local)

Prediction 43.64%2.29fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.23%43.63%43.63%45.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.102.2351.55%47.94%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

WSG Tirol (Visit)

Prediction 30.20%3.31fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.822%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.56%30.11%30.27%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.053.053.2535.09%32.75%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -0.983%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.26%26.10%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.483.7230.30%28.79%28.78%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Lustenau (Local): 43.64%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 30.20%; Draw: 26.16%. For WSG Tirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.43%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.89%EV -2.15%E -0.664%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.68%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 17:15
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.24%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -2.67%E -0.719%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 17:26
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 17:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.87%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 17:20
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 17:10
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:16
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:10
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 17:10
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:15
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.42%E -4.28%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 17:06
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 17:24
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 17:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.02%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.02%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 17:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -13.33%E -4.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -13.33%E -4.64%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 17:10
Suprabets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.47%EV -8.80%E -4.21%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.50%EV -6.98%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.04%EV -12.09%E -3.60%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.43%EV -8.80%E -4.21%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -3.36%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.20%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.85%E -0.569%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 08:20
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.85%E -0.569%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.85%E -0.569%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 08:20
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.85%E -0.569%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 08:20
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.85%E -0.569%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.85%E -0.569%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.85%E -0.569%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -1.85%E -0.569%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 08:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.91%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 17:10
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.40%E -3.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-28 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.42%E -4.28%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 17:11
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.42%E -4.28%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.95%EV -11.42%E -5.62%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.04%EV -10.31%E -3.47%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -10.26%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 17:08
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -12.73%E -6.36%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -13.93%E -4.89%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-28 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -12.73%E -6.36%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -13.93%E -4.89%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-28 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -14.04%E -7.12%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -6.38%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-28 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -14.91%E -7.65%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -14.91%E -7.65%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 08:20
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.91%E -7.65%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.08%EV -13.02%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-28 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -15.34%E -7.91%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -15.34%E -7.91%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -7.89%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-08-28 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-08-28 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-08-28 17:16
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-08-28 17:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.11%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-08-28 17:15