Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 7.20
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Lustenau (Local): 15.09%; LASK (Visit): 65.07%; Draw: 19.84%. For Austria Lustenau (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.63. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.64%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.37%EV +8.64%E +1.20%K +1.39%G +0.121% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.40%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.23%EV -5.55%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +5.63%E +0.804%K +0.938%G +0.053% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +5.63%E +0.804%K +0.938%G +0.053% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -10.86%E -7.92%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -4.76%E -0.991%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +1.85%E +0.275%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +1.85%E +0.275%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +1.85%E +0.275%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +1.85%E +0.275%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +1.85%E +0.275%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +1.85%E +0.275%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +1.85%E +0.275%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +1.85%E +0.275%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -1.92%E -0.295%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -0.790%E -0.158%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -1.92%E -0.295%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.92%E -0.295%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.92%E -0.295%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -1.92%E -0.295%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.58%EV -3.28%E -0.511%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.89%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.54%EV -9.72%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.43%E -0.535%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -4.94%E -0.783%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -9.72%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -4.94%E -0.783%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.95%E -4.86%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.39%EV -9.72%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -5.69%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -11.51%E -8.46%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -6.44%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.99%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -7.95%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.44%EV -12.16%E -9.01%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -7.95%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.44%EV -12.16%E -9.01%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -7.95%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.44%EV -12.16%E -9.01%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -7.95%E -1.30%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.44%EV -12.16%E -9.01%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-17 14:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -11.51%E -8.46%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.51%E -8.46%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.08%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.55%EV -9.46%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.15%EV -12.81%E -9.56%K -37.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.30%EV -14.68%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -5.65%E -3.90%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.75%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -4.76%E -0.991%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -4.76%E -0.991%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -13.24%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -17.01%E -3.09%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -11.51%E -8.46%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -18.52%E -3.43%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.40%EV -7.60%E -5.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -2.77%E -0.566%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -18.52%E -3.43%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.04%EV -10.86%E -7.92%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -11.70%E -2.63%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -18.52%E -3.43%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.04%EV -10.86%E -7.92%K -29.34%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -11.70%E -2.63%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -20.03%E -3.78%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.02%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.78%E -3.96%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.78%E -3.96%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.78%E -3.96%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.78%E -3.96%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-17 14:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -21.53%E -4.14%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -6.30%E -4.38%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 14:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.81% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.22% | 0.1% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.64% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.64% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.64% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.76% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40% | 3.1% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |