The School of Odds
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Austria Lustenau v LASK

2026-10-17 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Lustenau (Local)

Prediction 13.63%7.34fair odd
EV -0.517%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.082%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.68%13.63%13.69%15.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.707.007.3017.54%14.93%14.29%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LASK (Visit)

Prediction 67.43%1.48fair odd
EV -6.27%
Edge -4.51%
Kelly -16.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.58%67.56%67.31%69.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.351.3978.13%74.38%73.80%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.424%
Kelly +0.520%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.15%18.81%19.00%20.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.784.755.4022.73%20.92%21.05%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Austria Lustenau (Local): 13.63%; LASK (Visit): 67.43%; Draw: 18.94%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.40, producing a positive expected value of +2.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV +2.29%E +0.424%K +0.520%G +0.012%8.0%2026-10-04 16:18
Betr (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -1.20%E -0.165%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.95%E -5.03%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -0.551%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 16:19
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.20%E -0.165%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -8.97%E -6.64%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -0.551%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 15:05
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.64%E -7.20%K -28.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.29%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 15:10
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.30%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.29%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-25 11:55
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -5.29%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 15:20
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 68.83%EV -13.69%E -10.70%K -48.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -5.29%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-04 16:19
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -0.517%E -0.071%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -8.30%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:10
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -0.517%E -0.071%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -8.30%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -9.08%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -7.62%E -5.56%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-25 10:55
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -18.23%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-25 11:49
1xBet🎯7.29I 13.72%NM 12.83%EV -0.653%E -0.090%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.28%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -10.97%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 07:29
Winamax (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -20.96%E -3.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.12%EV -10.32%E -7.76%K -31.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -10.97%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-25 10:54
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.45%EV -18.23%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.70%EV -12.34%E -9.49%K -41.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-04 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.33%EV -16.87%E -2.77%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.24%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -14.76%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.19%EV -22.32%E -3.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.58%EV -10.99%E -8.33%K -34.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -14.76%E -3.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-25 10:54
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.30%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -16.65%E -3.78%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 12:20
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.30%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -16.65%E -3.78%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.30%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -16.65%E -3.78%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.30%E -6.10%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -16.65%E -3.78%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-27 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.80I 17.24%NM 14.83%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.00%16.3%2026-10-10 14:01