The School of Odds
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Western Sydney Wanderers v Auckland FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 06:00 UTC

Final: Western Sydney Wanderers 5–2 Auckland FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 39.96%2.50fair odd
EV +5.88%
Edge +2.22%
Kelly +3.57%
Growth +0.210%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.10%39.76%39.96%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.402.402.6547.62%41.69%41.67%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auckland FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.65%3.06fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%32.80%32.62%36.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.732.753.0041.15%36.59%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.529%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%27.44%27.42%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.55%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Sydney Wanderers (Local): 39.96%; Auckland FC (Visit): 32.65%; Draw: 27.40%. For Western Sydney Wanderers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV +5.88%E +2.22%K +3.57%G +0.210%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV -14.14%E -5.37%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.37%E -0.382%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 05:30
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 05:19
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -18.38%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -18.38%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -18.38%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -18.38%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -18.38%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:30
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -18.38%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -18.38%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV +1.89%E +0.740%K +1.22%G +0.023%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -18.38%E -7.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:30
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -0.110%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -11.85%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 05:54
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -0.110%E -0.044%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -19.03%E -7.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 05:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -2.11%E -0.860%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -20.67%E -8.50%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 05:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -2.11%E -0.860%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -20.67%E -8.50%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 05:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -2.11%E -0.860%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -20.67%E -8.50%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.13%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.24%EV -2.06%E -0.685%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 05:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.13%EV -3.71%E -1.54%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.24%EV -2.06%E -0.685%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 05:45
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.34%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.38%EV -2.38%E -0.797%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -2.74%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 05:45
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -6.30%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 05:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 05:35
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 05:35
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 05:35
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.11%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 05:30
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 05:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.93%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.63%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 05:45
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.73%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.51%EV -8.26%E -2.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.75%EV -3.57%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 05:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.08%EV -5.30%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 05:45
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 05:55
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 05:45
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 05:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 05:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 05:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 05:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.61%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -7.93%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 05:45
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.85%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 05:45
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 05:55
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.68%EV -7.70%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.08%EV -4.34%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 05:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 05:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.59%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 05:49
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 05:44
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 05:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.81%EV -16.09%E -6.26%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -13.70%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-24 05:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.10%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.85%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 05:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.22%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-24 05:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-10-24 05:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-10-24 05:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-10-24 05:55
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-10-24 05:55
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-10-24 05:55
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-10-24 05:55

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