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Western Sydney Wanderers v Auckland FC

2026-10-24 06:00 UTC — A-League

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 30.18%3.31fair odd
EV -6.44%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.18%30.18%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.993.003.1035.09%33.49%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auckland FC (Visit)

Prediction 42.73%2.34fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.67%42.73%42.73%44.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.132.202.2551.55%46.85%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.689%
Kelly -0.953%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.09%27.09%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.393.353.6030.77%29.49%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers (Local): 30.18%; Auckland FC (Visit): 42.73%; Draw: 27.09%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -2.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -3.86%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -2.48%E -0.689%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 12:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.79%EV -9.84%E -4.66%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-27 10:45
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-27 12:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-27 12:50
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.61%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-27 12:35
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.61%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-27 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.61%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-27 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.00%E -2.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.61%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-27 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -14.54%E -7.27%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-27 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.52%EV -12.47%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.13%EV -17.10%E -8.82%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.34%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-27 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.39%EV -13.98%E -4.91%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.75%EV -15.40%E -7.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.86%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-27 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.