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Western Sydney Wanderers v Auckland FC

2026-10-24 06:00 UTC — A-League

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.107%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%39.45%39.58%40.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.432.6343.48%41.11%41.15%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auckland FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.40%2.99fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.39%33.53%33.60%37.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.622.612.9042.02%38.22%38.31%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.99%3.71fair odd
EV -0.139%
Edge -0.038%
Kelly -0.051%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%27.01%26.83%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.483.7030.30%28.94%28.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers (Local): 39.61%; Auckland FC (Visit): 33.40%; Draw: 26.99%. For Western Sydney Wanderers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.63, producing a positive expected value of +4.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.60%EV +4.17%E +1.59%K +2.56%G +0.107%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.02%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -1.49%E -0.408%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 05:20
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV +1.00%E +0.394%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -17.16%E -6.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV +1.00%E +0.394%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -17.16%E -6.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV +1.00%E +0.394%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -17.16%E -6.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV +1.00%E +0.394%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -17.16%E -6.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV +1.00%E +0.394%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -17.16%E -6.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV +1.00%E +0.394%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -17.16%E -6.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 05:20
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV +1.00%E +0.394%K +0.647%G +0.006%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -17.16%E -6.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -0.977%E -0.391%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.84%E -0.788%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -0.977%E -0.391%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.89%EV -17.16%E -6.92%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 05:20
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -0.977%E -0.391%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -18.17%E -7.41%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 05:19
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -11.49%E -4.33%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -0.139%E -0.038%K -0.051%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -12.15%E -4.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.84%E -0.788%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.03%EV -20.50%E -8.62%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-17 05:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.03%EV -20.50%E -8.62%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-17 05:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.03%EV -20.50%E -8.62%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-17 05:20
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.65%EV -5.47%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -3.65%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 07:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.84%E -0.788%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 05:35
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 06:15
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 05:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.63%EV -6.52%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.64%EV -7.14%E -2.57%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 06:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.14%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 06:50
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 06:55
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -8.11%E -3.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 06:50
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -8.11%E -3.49%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 06:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 06:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 06:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 06:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 06:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 06:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.30%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%5.0%2026-10-17 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 39.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 46.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 14.41%92.8%2026-10-17 05:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 39.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 46.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 14.41%92.8%2026-10-17 05:15
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 36.95%1.03I 97.09%NM 45.92%2.76I 36.23%NM 17.14%111.4%2026-10-17 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 33.24%1.12I 89.29%NM 39.17%1.59I 62.89%NM 27.59%127.9%2026-10-17 08:05
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.47%ATG (SE) 2.63 (38.2%) / PointsBet (AU) 2.90 (34.6%) / SportsBet 3.70 (27.2%)Show all 2 combinations
Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)Auckland FC (Visit)DrawMargin
ATG (SE)🎯 2.63 (38.2%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.90 (34.6%)SportsBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.470%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.63 (38.1%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.65 (27.4%)+0.097%