L’École des cotes

Wellington Phoenix FC v Sydney FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 02:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)

Prévision 26.68%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.346%
Kelly -0.474%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.41%26.60%26.73%27.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.483.503.7031.25%28.76%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sydney FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.21%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.786%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.34%49.18%49.19%50.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.42%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.10%4.15cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.526%
Kelly -0.697%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%24.22%24.09%26.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.783.754.0630.77%26.46%26.67%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -1.28%E -0.346%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.80%EV -2.13%E -0.526%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -1.28%E -0.346%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.80%EV -2.13%E -0.526%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 13:45
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.28%E -0.346%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:19
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 01:39
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 01:39
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 08:19
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 01:39
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 01:39
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:19
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:19
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:19
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 01:44
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 01:39
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.97%E -4.26%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 01:40
Pinnacle3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.86%EV -2.56%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:39
GTbets3.56I 28.09%NM 26.53%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.19%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.28%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:50
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.67%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 12:35
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 01:39
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 00:50
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 00:50
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 08:14
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 04:14
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -11.42%E -6.34%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 01:39
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.57%E -0.786%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -7.20%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:49
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:50
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 01:40
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 01:39
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 01:44
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.42%E -6.34%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -21.66%E -6.66%K -9.63%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-01 01:19
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:50
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:50
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -8.46%E -4.55%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 00:49
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -10.92%E -6.04%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-01 01:39
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 01:48
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 01:48
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.11%EV -12.89%E -7.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 01:43
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.42%E -6.34%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 00:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-01 01:44
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-01 01:40
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-03-01 01:50