La escuela de los momios

Wellington Phoenix FC v Sydney FC

Inicio: 2026-03-01 02:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)

Predicción 26.68%3.75momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.474%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.41%26.60%26.73%27.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.483.503.7031.25%28.76%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sydney FC (Visitante)

Predicción 49.21%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.786%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.34%49.18%49.19%50.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.42%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.10%4.15momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.697%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%24.22%24.09%26.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.783.754.0630.77%26.46%26.67%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -1.28%E -0.346%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.80%EV -2.13%E -0.526%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -1.28%E -0.346%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.08%EV -5.02%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.80%EV -2.13%E -0.526%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 13:45
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.28%E -0.346%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:19
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 01:39
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 01:39
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 08:19
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 01:39
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 01:39
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:19
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:19
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:19
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 01:44
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 01:39
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.97%E -4.26%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 01:40
Pinnacle3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -4.21%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.86%EV -2.56%E -1.29%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:39
GTbets3.56I 28.09%NM 26.53%EV -5.01%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.19%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.28%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:50
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.67%EV -3.54%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 12:35
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 01:39
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.28%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.48%E -3.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -5.51%E -2.87%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 00:50
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 00:50
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 08:14
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 04:14
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.61%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -11.42%E -6.34%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 01:39
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.57%E -0.786%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -7.20%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:49
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:50
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 01:40
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 01:39
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 01:44
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.00%E -3.14%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 01:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -9.28%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.42%E -6.34%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -21.66%E -6.66%K -9.63%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-01 01:19
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:49
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:50
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 01:50
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -8.46%E -4.55%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 00:49
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -10.92%E -6.04%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.26%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-01 01:39
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 01:48
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 01:48
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.11%EV -12.89%E -7.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 01:43
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.62%E -4.57%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.42%E -6.34%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 00:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-01 01:44
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-03-01 01:40
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-03-01 01:50