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Wellington Phoenix FC v Central Coast Mariners

2026-10-25 02:00 UTC — A-League

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wellington Phoenix FC (Local)

Prediction 51.61%1.94fair odd
EV -6.59%
Edge -3.64%
Kelly -8.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%51.61%51.61%52.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.751.781.8160.98%57.14%56.18%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Coast Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 23.56%4.24fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%23.56%23.56%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.813.804.0027.78%26.25%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV -0.661%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.220%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%24.83%24.83%25.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.604.0028.57%27.17%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wellington Phoenix FC (Local): 51.61%; Central Coast Mariners (Visit): 23.56%; Draw: 24.83%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -0.661%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -0.661%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 11:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-27 12:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-27 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-27 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-27 12:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-27 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -13.30%E -7.92%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -14.01%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-27 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -14.33%E -8.64%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -15.18%E -4.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-27 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.14%EV -15.37%E -9.37%K -24.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -14.01%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-27 11:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.