Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Sydney FC v Western Sydney Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sydney FC (Local)
Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.37%41.35%41.27%44.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.222.252.3849.50%45.12%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 32.52%3.08fair odd
EV +0.804%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.01%32.54%32.51%33.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.1037.04%34.71%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.555%
Kelly +0.747%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%26.11%26.22%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.9030.30%27.89%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney FC (Local): 41.29%; Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit): 32.52%; Draw: 26.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.20%EV -10.00%E -4.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%EV +0.804%E +0.260%K +0.383%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +2.17%E +0.555%K +0.747%G +0.016% | 3.8% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -0.454%E -0.120%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.76%E -0.470%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 08:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.70%EV -9.58%E -4.38%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.03%EV -5.05%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 07:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.64%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-16 08:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.64%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.64%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.64%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.64%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.64%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.64%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.27%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -3.86%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-16 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.27%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.41%EV -3.10%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -3.86%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-16 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.64%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.08%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.28%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-16 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -4.07%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -10.00%E -4.59%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.76%EV -4.72%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -4.65%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 06:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -1.74%E -0.731%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.59%EV -3.42%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.74%EV -5.17%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-16 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.12%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.11%EV -2.12%E -0.705%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-16 08:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-16 08:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-16 07:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.22%EV -5.45%E -2.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-16 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.35%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 08:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 07:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.57%EV -14.12%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.25%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-16 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-16 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.95%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.14%EV -4.72%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-16 08:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 08:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 08:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.35%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-16 08:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-16 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.95%E -3.20%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-16 07:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.95%E -3.20%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-16 07:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.95%E -3.20%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-16 07:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.95%E -3.20%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-16 07:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.95%E -3.20%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-16 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.23%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.20%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-16 07:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.01%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.01%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.01%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-16 08:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -15.36%E -7.49%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-16 08:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.87%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.86%EV -11.55%E -4.25%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 08:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20% | 1.8% | 2026-10-16 08:55 |