L’École des cotes

Perth Glory v Melbourne City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 08:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Perth Glory (Local)

Prévision 24.95%4.01cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +0.503%
Kelly +0.665%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 4.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.59%24.95%24.91%27.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.704.0929.41%27.08%27.03%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Melbourne City (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.81%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.970%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.30%47.83%47.76%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.941.952.0555.56%51.49%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.24%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.541%
Kelly -0.749%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%27.22%27.33%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.503.6032.26%29.04%28.57%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag4.09I 24.45%NM 23.59%EV +2.06%E +0.503%K +0.665%G +0.014%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.95%EV -2.49%E -0.696%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 02:59
LowVig.ag4.09I 24.45%NM 23.59%EV +2.06%E +0.503%K +0.665%G +0.014%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.95%EV -2.49%E -0.696%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 02:59
BetUS4.09I 24.45%NM 23.59%EV +2.06%E +0.503%K +0.665%G +0.014%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.95%EV -2.49%E -0.696%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 02:59
Pinnacle3.93I 25.45%NM 24.62%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.13%EV -3.90%E -1.94%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 06:55
GTbets3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -4.43%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.54%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.49%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 06:09
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 06:29
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 06:15
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 05:39
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 05:39
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 06:53
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.31%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:54
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -1.99%E -0.970%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 06:35
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 06:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 06:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 06:14
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.25%E -3.74%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 06:15
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 06:10
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 06:10
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.08%EV -5.81%E -2.95%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -1.95%E -0.541%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 16:50
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 06:54
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 06:54
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 06:55
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 06:54
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 06:29
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.68%E -4.55%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 06:15
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 06:54
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 06:54
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 06:54
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.68%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 06:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:49
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:49
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -3.31%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:49
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 06:54
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:49
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:49
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:49
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:49
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:50
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:50
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.73%E -4.00%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:49
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.76%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 06:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 06:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-22 06:54
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.42%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -8.20%E -4.27%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 06:09
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -10.12%E -5.38%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 16:50
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -10.12%E -5.38%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 16:49
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.85%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.53%EV -12.51%E -6.83%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.61%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 06:54
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -13.91%E -4.03%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 06:20
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.67%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 06:20
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 06:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-22 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-22 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-03-22 06:54
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-03-22 06:54
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-22 06:54
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.78%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%3.5%2026-03-22 06:55