默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners

2026-11-01 04:00 UTC — A-League

胜负盘

11 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Melbourne Victory (主队)

预测 60.96%1.64公平赔率
EV -7.96%
优势 -5.27%
Kelly -15.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
60.34%60.96%60.96%64.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.471.491.5172.99%68.20%67.11%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

Central Coast Mariners (客队)

预测 17.82%5.61公平赔率
EV +3.37%
优势 +0.581%
Kelly +0.702%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
16.46%17.82%17.82%18.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.165.005.8021.28%19.37%20.00%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.22%4.71公平赔率
EV +3.99%
优势 +0.813%
Kelly +1.02%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 4.90

博彩公司预测分布
19.37%21.22%21.22%21.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.154.364.204.9024.10%22.94%23.81%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Melbourne Victory (主队):60.96%;Central Coast Mariners (客队):17.82%;平局:21.22%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.71。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.90,由此产生+3.99%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (11 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -9.18%E -6.16%K -18.73%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV +3.37%E +0.581%K +0.702%G +0.024%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV +3.99%E +0.813%K +1.02%G +0.041%4.8%2026-10-20 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -12.22%E -8.49%K -27.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.98%E -0.360%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +0.803%E +0.169%K +0.214%G +0.002%8.7%2026-10-20 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.57%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.89%EV -5.56%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 23:05
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -10.39%E -7.07%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -1.98%E -0.360%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.62%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-20 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -12.83%E -8.97%K -29.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -12.67%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-20 22:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 22:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.97%EV -13.44%E -9.47%K -32.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.42%EV -16.24%E -3.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-20 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 62.55%EV -16.49%E -12.04%K -44.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.80%EV -9.11%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.65%EV -11.93%E -2.87%K -3.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-20 22:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。