La scuola delle quote

Melbourne City v Central Coast Mariners

Inizio: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Melbourne City (Casa)

Previsione 66.69%1.50quota equa
EV -3.30%
Vantaggio -2.28%
Kelly -7.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.79%66.70%66.70%68.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.401.401.4576.92%71.39%71.43%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Central Coast Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.56%7.38quota equa
EV +6.55%
Vantaggio +0.834%
Kelly +0.955%
Crescita +0.063%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.26%13.53%13.55%14.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.906.856.807.8616.95%14.60%14.71%12.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.75%5.06quota equa
EV +0.741%
Vantaggio +0.145%
Kelly +0.181%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.55%19.77%19.76%21.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.594.605.1025.00%21.80%21.74%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.84%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.26%EV +6.55%E +0.834%K +0.955%G +0.063%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV +0.741%E +0.145%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-07 08:45
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.00%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.30%EV +6.42%E +0.818%K +0.937%G +0.060%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -3.21%E -0.655%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.00%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.30%EV +6.42%E +0.818%K +0.937%G +0.060%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -3.21%E -0.655%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 08:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.30%E -6.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +1.67%E +0.223%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.30%E -6.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +1.67%E +0.223%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.30%E -6.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +1.67%E +0.223%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:49
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.63%E -3.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.99%EV +0.318%E +0.043%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.81%EV -4.20%E -0.865%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:50
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 67.64%EV -7.30%E -5.25%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -1.72%E -0.237%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -4.20%E -0.865%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:55
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.36%EV -5.97%E -4.23%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.16%EV -3.61%E -0.508%K -0.591%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.48%EV -9.73%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 08:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.30%E -2.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 08:30
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:35
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 08:45
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 08:40
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.63%E -3.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.63%E -3.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:30
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.63%E -3.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 08:45
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.30%E -6.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 08:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:55
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -8.63%E -6.30%K -23.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 08:50
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.97%E -4.23%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -6.46%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 08:55
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.97%E -4.23%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -6.46%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.88%EV -7.82%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 08:55
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -7.82%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 08:55
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:15
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:15
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 08:15
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 08:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 08:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 08:55
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.39%EV -8.63%E -6.30%K -23.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -15.06%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 08:30
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.39%EV -8.63%E -6.30%K -23.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -15.06%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 08:30
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.57%EV -10.64%E -7.94%K -31.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -17.04%E -4.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-07 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.87%EV -13.30%E -10.23%K -44.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.37%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.30%E -8.50%K -34.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -20.99%E -5.25%K -7.00%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-07 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.24%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:15
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.24%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:15
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -7.97%E -5.77%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -15.27%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.79%EV -7.97%E -5.77%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.42%EV -15.95%E -2.57%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -15.06%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 08:44
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -9.97%E -7.38%K -28.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -20.02%E -3.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-07 08:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-07 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.34%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.72%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.6%2026-04-07 08:55
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-04-07 08:50