La escuela de los momios

Melbourne City v Central Coast Mariners

Inicio: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Melbourne City (Local)

Predicción 66.69%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -7.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.79%66.70%66.70%68.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.4576.92%71.39%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Central Coast Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 13.56%7.38momio equitativo
EV +6.55%
Ventaja +0.834%
Kelly +0.955%
Crecimiento +0.063%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.26%13.53%13.55%14.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.906.856.807.8616.95%14.60%14.71%12.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.75%5.06momio equitativo
EV +0.741%
Ventaja +0.145%
Kelly +0.181%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.55%19.77%19.76%21.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.594.605.1025.00%21.80%21.74%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.84%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.26%EV +6.55%E +0.834%K +0.955%G +0.063%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV +0.741%E +0.145%K +0.181%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-07 08:45
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.00%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.30%EV +6.42%E +0.818%K +0.937%G +0.060%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -3.21%E -0.655%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.00%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.30%EV +6.42%E +0.818%K +0.937%G +0.060%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -3.21%E -0.655%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 08:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.30%E -6.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +1.67%E +0.223%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.30%E -6.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +1.67%E +0.223%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.30%E -6.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +1.67%E +0.223%K +0.258%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:49
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.63%E -3.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.99%EV +0.318%E +0.043%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.81%EV -4.20%E -0.865%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 08:50
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 67.64%EV -7.30%E -5.25%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -1.72%E -0.237%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -4.20%E -0.865%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:55
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.36%EV -5.97%E -4.23%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.16%EV -3.61%E -0.508%K -0.591%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.48%EV -9.73%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 08:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.30%E -2.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 08:30
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 08:35
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 08:45
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 08:40
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.63%E -3.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.63%E -3.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:30
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.63%E -3.24%K -10.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 08:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 08:45
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.30%E -6.84%K -25.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 08:50
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:55
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -8.63%E -6.30%K -23.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.10%E -0.729%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 08:50
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.97%E -4.23%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -6.46%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 08:55
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.97%E -4.23%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -6.46%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.88%EV -7.82%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 08:55
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -7.82%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 08:55
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.30%E -3.73%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.49%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:15
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:15
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 08:15
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 08:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 08:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.63%E -4.74%K -16.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 08:55
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.39%EV -8.63%E -6.30%K -23.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -15.06%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 08:30
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.39%EV -8.63%E -6.30%K -23.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -15.06%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 08:30
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.57%EV -10.64%E -7.94%K -31.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -17.04%E -4.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-07 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.87%EV -13.30%E -10.23%K -44.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.37%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.30%E -8.50%K -34.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.88%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -20.99%E -5.25%K -7.00%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-07 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.24%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:15
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -3.97%E -2.75%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -13.24%E -2.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:15
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -7.97%E -5.77%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -15.27%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.79%EV -7.97%E -5.77%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.42%EV -15.95%E -2.57%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -15.06%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 08:44
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -9.97%E -7.38%K -28.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -20.02%E -3.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-07 08:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.04%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-07 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-04-07 08:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.34%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.72%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.6%2026-04-07 08:55
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-04-07 08:50